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Nne at 12 mph
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Archives >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2953
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest
      #32647 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:15 AM

10AM
Jeanne has slowed down a bit, the much touted turn to the north might actually accur inland today as some projections indicated. The NHC's track hasn't been too far off since it made landfall.

Original Update
Hurricane Jeanne has been inland overnight since landfall . The center is located just a bit south of Bartow right now and it's still chugging away to the west, with the northerly component finally showing up some. Unfortunately it's still just a hair further west than even the 5AM track this morning so it may wind up staying over the Gulf of Mexico a little longer, but not enough to restrengthen to category 3.



The forward motion has slowed a bit down to 12MPH, but it's still moving faster than Frances did. Winds are still being felt on the coast to the east, and damage reports right now are scarce. But should start flowing in soon.

Many people in central Florida are without power now, the further north you go the less widespread it is.


Event Related Links

Tampa Bay Radar

StormCarib reports from the Bahamas
You can find links to County Emergency Management offices at floridadisaster.org
Jeanne Color Satellite
Various Audio/Video Feeds from hurricane affected areas
Hurricane Local Statements for Weather Offices in:
All Current Hurricane Local Statements

Mark Sudduth is doing video updates as he heads toward Vero to set up his reasearch team. Check on it here.
Hurricanetrack HIRT vehicle (camera, and more)

Melbourne (East Central Florida) - Long Range Radar Loop
Miami (South Florida) - Long Range Radar Loop
Jacksonville (North Florida) - Long Range Radar Loop

Jeanne Models -- This image animated over time
Karl Models -- This image animated over time
Lisa Models -- This image animated over time
Jeanne Sphagehtti Model from BoatUS/Hurricane Alley
Jeanne Plots from Weather Underground
Jeanne Satelllite Image with track/radar Overlays

Jeanne Radar Image

Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations):
Tampa. Miami, Key West, Jacksonville.
Melbourne

General Links
Skeetobite's storm track maps

Current Aircraft Recon Info (Decoded) thanks Londovir
Other Recon Info


NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

Global SST Animation

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
LSU Sat images

RAMSDIS Satellite Images (high speed)

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
AVN, CMC,GFDL, JMA,NOGAPS,UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Multi-model plots from Mid-Atlantic Weather
Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Hurricanetrack.com (Mark Sudduth), HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,

Even more on the links page.


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LadyStorm
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 138
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Jeanne now low cat 1 [Re: MikeC]
      #32656 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:30 AM

She has weaked to 70k. Here is a map depicting her location and strength as of 9 am:

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USNatio...ne&pid=none

--------------------
"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of
thinking we were at when we created them"

..........Albert Einstein


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mud1967
Weather Watcher


Reged: Tue
Posts: 42
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: MikeC]
      #32657 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:30 AM

Do you think that it will be a Cat I or II when it get to Tallahassee? Or just a TS?

Will it go west of us at all?


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Ocala
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 33
Loc: Ocala, FL
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: MikeC]
      #32658 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:30 AM

Not too bad yet here in Ocala. Not raining much, but looking at radar looks like it is just starting to move into our area. Weatherbug shows sustained winds 23 mph with gusts up to 39.

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LadyStorm
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 138
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: mud1967]
      #32660 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:38 AM

From the most current map, she will be a strong TS when she passes by you, but far enough to the east of you that you all should make out okay in Tally.

MaryAnn

Quote:

Do you think that it will be a Cat I or II when it get to Tallahassee? Or just a TS?

Will it go west of us at all?




--------------------
"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of
thinking we were at when we created them"

..........Albert Einstein


Edited by LadyStorm (Sun Sep 26 2004 09:46 AM)


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RevUp
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 180
Loc: 28.43N 81.31W
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: MikeC]
      #32662 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:41 AM

Really appreciate most of these posts - calm, caring, rational - thanks everyone.
In NW Hillsborough, finally saw a wind gust over 50 mph. Contrary to what everyone else is saying, we were well prepared for Jeanne here (cat 1 winds) based upon NHC "forecast cone." No surprises here! Great job by most of the local TV mets throughout the night here keeping people updated on the situation and path of the storm without any needless speculation.
Had to help get a woman out of a car in a flooded ditch early this morning; ran off the road into 2-3 feet of water. She'll be OK.
Just lost local weather site at Tampa Catholic H.S. - power about to go out. 29.32 and falling. N winds 40 G 55 mph and climbing. God bless.

--------------------
"Let tomorrow worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own."


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robynsmom
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 11
Loc: Ridge Manor Florida
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: LadyStorm]
      #32663 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:44 AM

Winds starting to pic up here North of Dade City. Rain has been constant for a while now. Thanks for all the great post up till you all lots power. My prayers are with you all.

--------------------
Robynsmom


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KC
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sun
Posts: 87
Loc: Naples, FL 26.30N 81.35W
Re: RevUp [Re: RevUp]
      #32664 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:46 AM

RevUp - my hat is off to you! Great rescue. Stay safe!

Karen


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Andy Dorr
Registered User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 8
Loc: Sarasota, Florida
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: Ocala]
      #32665 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:46 AM

Sarasota, Florida, 9:40 AM: Wind is rising just a bit, about 5 mph in the last 30 minutes. The wind is from the WNW (300 degrees) at 43 MPH (37 KT) gusting to 60 MPH (53 KT). Pressure is holding at 988 mb. Rain is becoming harder, about a in the last hour. Lots of leaves and small branches down, but no trees yet in our area. Power continues to go on and off. FPL is going to have their work cut out for them to do restoration after Jeanne passes. It took 2 weeks to do all the restoration after Francis and 3 weeks for Charley.

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RevUp
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 180
Loc: 28.43N 81.31W
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: robynsmom]
      #32666 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:49 AM

If I'm not mistaken, last few radar frames looks like Jeanne has slowed its westward movement and is turning more northward! Stay tuned!

--------------------
"Let tomorrow worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own."


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RONJON
Unregistered




Re: Storm Tide Flooding [Re: Andy Dorr]
      #32668 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:51 AM

I'd imagine with W-NW winds gusting to 60 mph in Sarasota County that it won't take long for coastal flooding to develop - this will be the story up the gulf coast as we head into the late afternoon. Also, has anyone else noticed the storm's speed seems to be slowing down a bit?

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erauwx
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 15
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: RevUp]
      #32669 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:52 AM

YES! i was just going to post about the NNW movement i see on the MLB radar. It almost looks north, but it's probably just a wobble

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rule
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 132
Loc: Ocala, Florida
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: Ocala]
      #32670 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:52 AM

Yep, looks like we are about to get the first real band here.

Pressure is 29.47 and slowly dropping.


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Ocala
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 33
Loc: Ocala, FL
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: erauwx]
      #32671 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:54 AM

Quote:

YES! i was just going to post about the NNW movement i see on the MLB radar. It almost looks north, but it's probably just a wobble




Can you post a link? Thanks. All my bookmarks are on my office computer.


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erauwx
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 15
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: rule]
      #32672 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:55 AM

I wouldn't be suprised it they post a tornado warning for volusia and flagler soon. that outer rainband doesn't look good

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Andy Dorr
Registered User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 8
Loc: Sarasota, Florida
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: Andy Dorr]
      #32673 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:58 AM Attachment (361 downloads)

Sarasota, Florida, 9:55 AM: Storm continues to look like its tracking west. Eye is in southern Polk County. Weather has stayed constant sine last post. The wind is from the WNW (300 degrees) at 43 MPH (37 KT) gusting to 60 MPH (53 KT). Pressure is holding at 988 mb. Rain is becoming harder, about a in the last hour.

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rugrats
Unregistered




Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: erauwx]
      #32674 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:58 AM

Panama City here and I just noticed they have us under a TS Warning...does anyone feel that we have chance of feeling any effects from this. I would think we're to far west for this to happen, but would love to hear others comments.
THanks


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RevUp
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 180
Loc: 28.43N 81.31W
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: rule]
      #32675 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:59 AM

Just found this observation from Oviedo (E of Orlando) strongest winds just recently occurred! Storm really seems to be spreading out as it weakens! .. based on reports from Sarasota as well.

Realtime Weather From St. Luke's Lutheran School in Oviedo, FL

9/26/04 - 9:48:20 AM CURRENT MIN/MAX HOURLY CHANGE
Wind (mph) E at 22.6 ENE 63.8 at 7:53a
Rain (") 3.32 2.44 "/h at 7:56a 1.08
Pressure ("Hg) 29.25 29.54 at 12:10a
29.25 at 9:48a 0.04 drop/hr

--------------------
"Let tomorrow worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own."


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rule
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 132
Loc: Ocala, Florida
Re: Jeanne Inland, Still Moving West to West Northwest [Re: Ocala]
      #32676 - Sun Sep 26 2004 09:59 AM

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p37cr/si.kmlb.shtml

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LadyStorm
Weather Guru


Reged: Thu
Posts: 138
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Did I hear possible Tornado Warnings??? [Re: erauwx]
      #32677 - Sun Sep 26 2004 10:00 AM

That band just passed through here and it was pretty nasty. I am here in Ormond Beach just south of the Volusia/Flagler line. I was about to say its lightned up a bit, but here comes another wave of heavy heavy rain, and the highest wind gusts I have seen yet from this storm. Let us know if you hear of the warnings before they are posted.

Stay safe,
MaryAnn


Quote:

I wouldn't be suprised it they post a tornado warning for volusia and flagler soon. that outer rainband doesn't look good




--------------------
"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of
thinking we were at when we created them"

..........Albert Einstein


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