Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1299
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I'm not a big Florida fan but if I was looking for a good football team over there I think I might go a little more south... like maybe in MIAMI.... .hehe
oh maybe you missed that game....LOL
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JustMe
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 128
Loc: Orlando, Florida
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where do i find models of the hurricanes ?
i want to see one
thanks
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I have survived Betsy Miss, Camille Miss., Andrew Fl, Charley Fl, Frances FL, Jeanne FL,
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wxman007
Meteorologist
Reged:
Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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Southern always plays us tough...your prediction wouldn't surprise me in the slightest...but I think the boys will be a little upset and hungry after the bashing we took yesterday from the NCAA...
Bama 27 USM 10
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Jason Kelley
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troy2
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 227
Loc: cocoa beach
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Its kinda Ironic you mention the Gators when a Hurricane ruined their day 
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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Even being the big sooner fan that I am, I can not deny who I think is the best team in the country, and guess what, their name just happens to be, you guessed it, the HURRICANES. Miami,Fl is the best team, hands down, but has a difficult schedule left. If they could lose one of those tough ones than it will open the door for OU.
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Southern4sure
Weather Guru
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Posts: 121
Loc: Land O Lakes, FL
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Bama is ready to kick some butt ( ), there is alot to prove to the sec. I think now is the time.
Southern
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tom5r
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 49
Loc: Islamorada, Florida
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Did anybody see the footage from Jamaica on ? Towns are flooded and people walking through water up to their waists. What a mess.
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1299
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WHXX01 KWBC 190016
CHGHUR
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE (AL102002) ON 20020919 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS...
020919 0000 020919 1200 020920 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 19.4N 79.2W 20.5N 80.5W 21.6N 81.6W
BAMM 19.4N 79.2W 21.0N 80.7W 22.5N 82.1W
A98E 19.4N 79.2W 20.6N 80.1W 21.6N 81.0W
LBAR 19.4N 79.2W 20.6N 80.3W 21.6N 81.5W
SHIP 50KTS 57KTS 63KTS
DSHP 50KTS 57KTS 63KTS
...36 HRS... ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS...
020920 1200 020921 0000 020922 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 22.5N 82.7W 23.3N 83.5W 24.6N 85.1W
BAMM 23.8N 83.5W 24.8N 84.5W 26.2N 86.7W
A98E 22.4N 81.6W 22.9N 82.3W 23.8N 84.2W
LBAR 22.6N 82.5W 23.3N 83.1W 23.8N 83.2W
SHIP 68KTS 76KTS 85KTS
DSHP 49KTS 62KTS 72KTS
http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/tropical/atlantic/models/02091900
You extrapolate this model data and one thing is very evident... the system is basically moving towards the NW. (one has it moving NNW) .. and if it is a very large system as predicted, with significant inertia involved, there may not be anything in the near future that will turn it one way or another... which at the present time does not bode well for the north and north east gulf coast...in addition it going to have to speed up quite a bit to get there from here....
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1299
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I am so glad that your weather forecasting (which is the best on this site) is SO much better than your football forecasting...
hehe
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Southern4sure
Weather Guru
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Posts: 121
Loc: Land O Lakes, FL
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lol@FRANK
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Joe
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
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Troy sent the AVN link to you.
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joepub1
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
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After reading all the great posts here, I thought I'd join in. Here in Jacksonville,we already have a river that runs the wrong way, a terrible power grid, but a AFC South powerhouse( at 1-1, ain't we all?). I figure if Izzy gets to 25N 85W and gives the panhandle a dirty look, we have problems here. Storms coming by, or from the west give us more trouble than the ones from the east. We havn't taken a direct hit since Dora(class of 64'). This thing is looking pretty darn big.
By the way, if you want to see someone who gets paid to wishcast, go to Stormtrack2002.com and see our local surfer/met. 5-day forecast. Earlier, he showed 50+ MPH winds on Monday. He's mellowed out a little bit now.
joepub1 in JAX
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abyrd
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 62
Loc: apopka
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New statements have Izzy moving slightly north of west.
It's also moved the 72hr forecast further to the west and moving wnw
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troy2
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 227
Loc: cocoa beach
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thanks joe!
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Bruce
Weather Guru
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Posts: 139
Loc: Palm Bay, Florida
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Key West long range radar loop starting to pick up storm.
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abyrd
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 62
Loc: apopka
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And the strike possibilities have shot way down for the west coast of Florida.
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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I'm not wishcasting here, but if you go to the site and look at the their floater it is of our storm. If you look at the loop, it almost looks like it is trying to take a more wnw jog in the last few frames. Of course, we are talking IR here and we all know how that can be nerve wracking trying to get a fix on a direction, but it is all we have until morning. Now I'm doing the same thing I was bashing other people for doing. (HA,HA,HA) I guess it just gets in your system and there isn't anything WE can do about it. I include myself.
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Carl
Unregistered
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looks to be moving more wnw, IF that donut hole on the infrared is the center. BTW, also a big USM fan
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1063
Loc: Metairie, LA
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Bob showed a nice color infrared which appears to show Isidore about to wrap up with some serious convection blowing up just north and east of the center. He showed the 5pm Forecast track (NHC) which bee lines to Buras (Mouth of the Mississippi). Of course he said that's good because there's always a deviation from these types of tracks - it's either going east or west of the track. He's leaning more to west of the track and possibly a stall near the Yucatan - but apparently west of 90 (N.O.'s parallel). His thinking is that ultimately it kicks back off to the NE out front of a SW windflow. The whole deal is the front which is expected to hang up south of Shreveport, then pulse again to around Baton Rouge. What happens next is anyone's guess as the front could move through, stall, or wash out. Of course he reminded all viewers that the 4-7 coordinates were +.4 N, + .4 W and that the new ones would be out in 15 minutes. 11 is major advisory time, so the model runs should follow. It will give us insominacs who just can't wait to go Bear hunting Sunday afternoon something to look at.
Steve
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MF'n Super Bowl Champions
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Joe
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
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Not much change in 11pm advisory. Winds 60...pressure 998..moving NW at 9.
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