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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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teal61
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sun
Posts: 61
Loc: Spring, TX (30.1N 95.5W)
Re: Dennis [Re: Unregistered User]
      #38071 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:33 PM

Quote:

Looks like the center is more to the north of the forescated track right now...
Check the Trop Fcst pts box on top right
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html




I would have to disagree with you there. If anything it's a little south of the forecast track. Dennis is still moving rapidly westward at this time. Of course there has been some question elsewhere about exactly where the center is.


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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: Dennis [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #38072 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:34 PM

That animation was kind of cool... too bad you can't place the Highs and Lows anywhere on the map.... Unfortunately, my placement took the storm right over my house, but....

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Terra Dassau Cahill


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AMK
Unregistered




Cindy ship observation [Re: Unregistered User]
      #38073 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:36 PM

I found a ship report at 27.5 north 89.8 west which, within the hour, reported sustained winds of about 58 miles per hour (50 knots). Is this likely to be accurate?

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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


Reged: Sun
Posts: 481
Loc: Tampa
Re: Dennis [Re: Terra]
      #38074 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:38 PM

LOL, keep moving them around to get away from your house )). Conceptually it should be helpful for folks

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: Cindy ship observation [Re: AMK]
      #38075 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:39 PM

According to the Bouy center... the highest windspeed is 24.1 kts near the storm... Where did you find that reading?

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search.php?lat1=27.0N&lon1=90.4W&dist=250&time=3

Ok.. looking earlier, I see a couple ship reports with higher wind speeds (49ish knots), but I don't like those as they don't have constant data and graphs to see if its real or an outlier...

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill

Edited by Terra (Tue Jul 05 2005 12:42 PM)


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 811
Loc: Rhode Island 26.19N 80.10W
Re: Tropical Storm Dennis Forms in Caribbean, Cindy in Gulf [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #38076 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:40 PM

Alright,I just got some what I think is big news for Dennis.The High off the east FL. coast IS moving to the east.This I really believe will move Dennis more to the east.Am I right in my thinking?

Edited by ftlaudbob (Tue Jul 05 2005 12:51 PM)


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Orlando. FL
Unregistered




Re: Tropical Storm Dennis Forms in Caribbean, Cindy in Gulf [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #38077 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:42 PM

Where did you get this information for the high?

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WeatherNLU
Meteorologist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 212
Loc: New Orleans, LA 29.93N 89.93W
Re: Dennis [Re: Terra]
      #38078 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:43 PM

Uh, not to burst anyone's bubble on Dennis, but we here in New Orleans are staring down the gut of an intensifying tropical storm. Not sure if anyone else is paying attention or not, but Cindy has really gotten her act together and looks rather impressive (though small) on satellite. I think there is a slim chance that she makes it to hurricane strength. Surely looks like she might be up from 50 already.

--------------------
I survived Hurricane Katrina, but nothing I owned did!


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 811
Loc: Rhode Island 26.19N 80.10W
Re: Tropical Storm Dennis Forms in Caribbean, Cindy in Gulf [Re: Orlando. FL]
      #38079 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:43 PM

I just got that info about the high on ch7 in Ft Lauderdale.

--------------------

Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.


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HCW
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
Re: Dennis [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #38080 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:44 PM

What are ya'lls thoughts on Cindy ? Sorry to change the channel



http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/storm/archive/javanh1.html

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satellit...&duration=6

--------------------
Over 4,000 members and now on a new server

http://www.hardcoreweather.com


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida 28.00N 81.90W
Re: Dennis [Re: teal61]
      #38081 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:44 PM

Okay...then maybe I am not looking at what is the actual LLC...would that be right in between the "L" symbol and the " " symbol?
Sorry to ask so many questions...just want to make sure I'm looking at the correct place! Argh!

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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AMK
Unregistered




Cindy ship observation [Re: Orlando. FL]
      #38082 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:45 PM

from what I saw the ship at the time was located at 27.5 north, 89.8 west, slightly northeast of the center of the storm. Here is the link

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search.php?lat1=27.0N&lon1=90.4W&dist=250&time=3.

The report was from 1500 hours, so its not at the absolute top


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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master


Reged: Tue
Posts: 426
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA 27.37N 80.24W
Re: Tropical Storm Dennis Forms in Caribbean, Cindy in Gulf [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #38083 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:51 PM

Conceptually you are right- but at no time can it be certain that Dennis will behave conceptually. He may find he's in a friendlier environment pursuing a westward motion; but we may not know what he has in mind as other variables may affect his path. So stay tuned.

--------------------
________2017 Forecast: 12/6/3________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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twizted sizter
Unregistered




Cindy [Re: WeatherNLU]
      #38084 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:51 PM

There are still posts mixed in here in regards to Cindy...can only speak for myself but I'm sure noone meant any slight to the effects those in your area will feel.

She does appear to be getting her act together & you are correct more attention should be given...Bastardi alluded to this in his Counterpoint video this a.m....feels she'll be much stronger..maybe not hurricane strength...but severe weather & plenty of rain to say the least.


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HCW
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 287
Loc: Mobile,AL
Re: Cindy [Re: twizted sizter]
      #38085 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:57 PM

Nice 80 frame shot of Cindy Good bookmark



http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/marti/2005_THREE/webManager/basicJavaDisplay.html

--------------------
Over 4,000 members and now on a new server

http://www.hardcoreweather.com


Edited by HCW (Tue Jul 05 2005 01:02 PM)


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida 28.00N 81.90W
Cindy [Re: HCW]
      #38086 - Tue Jul 05 2005 12:58 PM

Sorry by offending anyone of our friends who are looking at Cindy coming their way. Just looked at the visibles...looks lopsided to me but a LOT of rain and that could be a huge problem. If she can get her act together, she may just be able to reach a Cat1 storm. It looks like all the heavy weather is on the eastern side of the storm; hopefully that will keep New Orleans from getting the heaviest weather...although others will suffer.
I really do not like the way this season is shaping up.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: Cindy [Re: Colleen A.]
      #38087 - Tue Jul 05 2005 01:01 PM

It took a while for the NHC to update the forecast track from the 10am update, but I noticed it was shifted a little east... this is good news indeed.

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 811
Loc: Rhode Island 26.19N 80.10W
Dennis [Re: Terra]
      #38088 - Tue Jul 05 2005 01:08 PM

I think by tommorow night we will see the forcast track for Dennis shift to the east some.Is it July 5th or Sept. 5th????????

--------------------

Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.


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firestar_1
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Tue
Posts: 64
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL, 26.98N 82....
Re: Cindy [Re: HCW]
      #38089 - Tue Jul 05 2005 01:12 PM

Very nice link...it sure shows Cindy is getting her act together...

--------------------
Stay Aware...Stay Alert....Stay Alive.....


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida 28.00N 81.90W
Re: Cindy [Re: Terra]
      #38090 - Tue Jul 05 2005 01:13 PM

Looking at the WV loop, it appears that there is a ridge/trough that's beginning to break down and pulling Cindy further north. Although, it appears that from looking at the radar, N.O. is getting some rain..hopefully not too much rain.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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