Tazmanian93
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
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Maybe it's just me, but looking at everything I can look at right now, I can't not see anything that is going to keep it from maintaining it's track and riding up the coast. But I don't know much. No pro here!!!!
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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.
Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!
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Ed
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Pensacola101
Unregistered
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My Insurance company actually put a hold on new policies or policy changes yesterday. I called to see if I could up my coverage on my homeowners and they said, "sure, once the storm has passed." They had already froze all new policies or changes to a policy.
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BillD
User
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Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
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Yes, the only thing that changed in the US was this:
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...
Everything else is the same.
Bill
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Jamiewx
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 371
Loc: Orlando, Florida
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"Dennis is then expected to move around the
western periphery of a subtropical ridge. Although this sounds
simple enough...the details of the turn around the ridge are
important for residents of Florida. In the latest model runs...the
GFS has shifted a little farther east and is now very close to the
GFDL track. These two models are the easternmost of the dynamical
suite. The U.K. Met. Office model remains well west of almost all
other guidance. Our forecast is adjusted only slightly to the east
and is very close to both the simple dynamical consensus track...
CONU...and to the superensemble."
from the 5pm Discussion
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Colleen A.
Moderator
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Yes, they don't get the graphics updated as quickly as they do the rest of the information. I imagine it takes awhile to update that.
I don't remember what the state met's name is, but I do remember he was very smart -- and very calming!
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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AgentB
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 188
Loc: Winter Park, FL
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Still moving at a decent speed to the NW(just a bit more W than N). In the last 24hrs it's gained more lat. than long. only twice between advisories. The other times it's moved more west than north. Have to keep an eye on that, and see when it starts trending to be more equal, or more N.
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Check the Surf
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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
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channel 13 wtvt is saying its going to be several hundred miles away from tampa bay....and the tropical storm force winds are going to remain off the coast....now tell me about that one....so now my mother in law is in the "denial"....well im ready .... 
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"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"
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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
Storm Tracker
Reged:
Posts: 317
Loc: Kissimmee, Florida on Lake Toh...
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Space Shuttle Managment to meet in 1/2 hour to determine if they are going to roll back space shuttle. I believe they are not going to risk it, because of the sheer size of the storm. Its not that they are stating that it will hit , but if the storm wobbles some they are worried about higher gusts of winds.
Seems the news is now freaking out here..
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Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!
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Lysis
User
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Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
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channel 13 wtvt is saying its going to be several hundred miles away from tampa bay....and the tropical storm force winds are going to remain off the coast....now tell me about that one....so now my mother in law is in the "denial"....well im ready ....
Right now you should expect tropical storm force wind gusts.
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cheers
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twizted sizter
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 184
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When he goes in that's when I'll know.
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/GULF_latest.gif
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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I just watched Paul Delgatto (sp?) and his partner...he said that they are dropping all kinds of instruments to see what that High is doing/behaving and that the information coming back is that it is moving further east. They also said that we WILL feel effects even if it's 150-200 miles offshore.
On News Channel 8, that cone now has those lines of "error" into the western peninsula.
It will a nervewracking next 1-2 days...will it move? will it not move? I hate this part. 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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twizted sizter
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 184
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Should we move? LOL!!
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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Could you please explain what that map means? I'm not sure how to read it. Thank you! 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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lawgator
Weather Hobbyist
Reged:
Posts: 75
Loc: E C Fla.
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I am watching these model runs http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ and it is a scary scenario to have the eye stay out over reasonably deep and very warm water, run up the coast, and landfall into the panhandle. Given that the worst of it is to the north and the east of the center, that means it would just beat the crap out of the state from north to south, punching us all the way up until it direct hits the big bend area over to St. Marks. Given the population centers on the west coast, if it does that this could be ugly. And whoever it was that just commented on having to sweat it out now for the next 2-3 days, I totally agree. This is very anxious time.
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Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged:
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
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SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
430 PM CDT THU JUL 07 2005
.SYNOPSIS...WEAK HIGH PRES ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA AND CENTRAL
GULF TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL SHIFT E OF THE AREA FRI. HURRICANE
DENNIS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS
WESTERN CUBA...AND INTO THE EXTREME SE GULF LATE FRI NIGHT AND
INTO THE CENTRAL GULF SAT. IS FORECAST TO REACH THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF LATE SUN INTO EARLY MON. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
ASSOCIATED WITH WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE SE GULF TONIGHT.
web page
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www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh
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twizted sizter
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 184
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What is the UKMET model picking up on...or not picking up on...that the others are/aren't?
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trinibaje
Weather Guru
Reged:
Posts: 136
Loc: MIAMI, FLORIDA
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Quote:
What is the UKMET model picking up on...or not picking up on...that the others are/aren't?
that canadian model looks bad for the entire state 
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-----------MY 2005 PREDICTION--------
15/10/5
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Colleen A.
Moderator
Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
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So...basically what they are saying is that this will be CLOSER to the western Florida peninsula because the weak high pressure ridge is moving to the east?
I know I must sound like the stupidest person in the world, but I'm not quite sure EXACTLY whether this is GOOD or BAD for Central Florida, LOL!
Thanks for being so patient! 
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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kerry
Unregistered
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Hi! We'll be arriving in Destin Sat morning for vacation....anyone know anything about the stom and that area?
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