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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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GERRYL
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: Katie]
      #38975 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:08 PM

Can someone post the new FSU link

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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: Unregistered User]
      #38976 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:08 PM

yes i have been watching tampas numbers and went from 5, 7, 10, and now 18....

--------------------
"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"


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rmbjoe1954
Weather Master


Reged: Tue
Posts: 426
Loc: Port Saint Lucie, Florida, USA 27.37N 80.24W
Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: Unregistered User]
      #38977 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:10 PM

As Dennis draws nearer to the US mainland it is natural that the numbers will get higher.

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________2017 Forecast: 12/6/3________

There is little chance that meteorologists can solve the mysteries of weather until they gain an understanding of the mutual attraction of rain and weekends. ~Arnot Sheppard


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Jax Chris
Weather Watcher


Reged: Wed
Posts: 28
Loc: Jacksonville Beach, FL
Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: Colleen A.]
      #38978 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:12 PM

Quote:

It may be true that they get their temps from the shallower waters. Dick Fletcher said last night that in the 20+ years he's been here, he's NEVER seen the Gulf temperature at 91 degrees.



I don't think that he's seeing it at 91 degees now, either. Sea Surface Temperature map at http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/data/gulfmex.cf.gif shows temperatures to be about 86 deg. F on the north side of Cuba, and a nice big patch about 82 deg. F just south of Pensacola. Looks like it's currently running about 84 off most of the Florida west coast.

Jax Chris


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FlaMommy
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 225
Loc: Tampa(Riverview), Florida
Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #38979 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:12 PM

i totally understand that...i was just showing that i have been keeping track as others are....thanks

--------------------
"Haven't thought of a witty one lately"


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Katie
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 167
Loc: Winter Haven, FL
Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: GERRYL]
      #38980 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:14 PM

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

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Steve hirschb.
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: RedingtonBeachGuy]
      #38981 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:14 PM

Go to the main page and scroll down to CMC/GFS/FSUMM5/NOGAPS/UKMET

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GERRYL
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: Katie]
      #38982 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:15 PM

THANK YOU

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AgentB
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 185
Loc: Winter Park, FL
Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: jth]
      #38983 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:17 PM

Here's a pretty good website with a listing of coastal water temps.

Coastal Water Temps

And here's a nice graphic of SST anomalies. Doesn't appear to be higher than normal to me.

SST Map

--------------------
Check the Surf


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CocoaBeach
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Watches up For Keys, Tropical Storm Watch For Southern Florida Dennis [Re: rmbjoe1954]
      #38984 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:17 PM

I didn't think of it that way...
It certainly makes sense. Thank you!


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 811
Loc: Rhode Island 26.19N 80.10W
OK,I am going to lay it on the line. [Re: FlaMommy]
      #38985 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:19 PM

This is not a wishcast.I am going out on a limb here,But I am predicting a South Florida derect hit.I will spare you all the details why,for one thing I hate typing.The high IS moving east and Dennis went from a wnw track to a nw track.This eastern track will continue,and you will continue to see the models shift everything right.My biggest fear is all the news stories about the Gulf will catch many in South Florida by surprise.So you can laugh,curse or slap me silly,but I do predict a South Florida hit.

--------------------

Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.


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Katie
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 167
Loc: Winter Haven, FL
Re: OK,I am going to lay it on the line. [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #38986 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:21 PM

FtLaudBob- hope you are wrong, but, I still have that not so good feeling.

Lysis, what are you thinking dear?


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trinibaje
Weather Guru


Reged: Tue
Posts: 136
Loc: MIAMI, FLORIDA
Re: OK,I am going to lay it on the line. [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #38987 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:24 PM

Quote:

This is not a wishcast.I am going out on a limb here,But I am predicting a South Florida derect hit.I will spare you all the details why,for one thing I hate typing.The high IS moving east and Dennis went from a wnw track to a nw track.This eastern track will continue,and you will continue to see the models shift everything right.My biggest fear is all the news stories about the Gulf will catch many in South Florida by surprise.So you can laugh,curse or slap me silly,but I do predict a South Florida hit.





But have been saying that for the past two days... LOL

ok seriously, i don't think we will have a direct hit, but i think it is gonna come to close for comfort and the bad weather will catch a lot of people by surprise.

--------------------
-----------MY 2005 PREDICTION--------
15/10/5


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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 313
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida 28.12N 80.58W
Re: OK,I am going to lay it on the line. [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #38988 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:26 PM

Wow!!!!!! Thats really going out on the limb, but not realistic I`m afraid....Weatherchef

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firestar_1
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Tue
Posts: 64
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL, 26.98N 82....
Re: OK,I am going to lay it on the line. [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #38989 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:28 PM

Thanks guy!!!!! But it would not suprise me if we do get as a minimum hurricane force in our area...............

--------------------
Stay Aware...Stay Alert....Stay Alive.....


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 811
Loc: Rhode Island 26.19N 80.10W
Re: OK,I am going to lay it on the line. [Re: B.C.Francis]
      #38990 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:28 PM

Quote:

Wow!!!!!! Thats really going out on the limb, but not realistic I`m afraid....Weatherchef


I really see a trend starting.And it still has plenty of time and room.I hope I am wrong,but that is what I predict.We shall see.

--------------------

Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.


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st.pete boy
Unregistered




Re: OK,I am going to lay it on the line. [Re: B.C.Francis]
      #38991 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:31 PM

My prediciton: Direct hit between pensa. and cedar key but will parallel the west coast to give west coast 75-100 mph winds in spots with serious surge...A direct hit would have devastating consequences....

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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 313
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida 28.12N 80.58W
Re: OK,I am going to lay it on the line. [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #38992 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:32 PM

You have plenty of people that hope your wrong in South Florida at this very moment.....Weatherchef

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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida 28.00N 81.90W
Gulf Temps [Re: Jax Chris]
      #38993 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:33 PM

BayNews9 ALSO has the Gulf temps at 89-90 degrees. I would assume that if I checked the other news stations, they would be in line with those numbers. When I was in Clearwater in June, it was 86.
Maybe they are taking them closer to the coast; I don't know. I seriously do not think they are making it up for visitors, but I don't feel like squabbling over it, either.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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stormchazer
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 315
Loc: Central Florida 27.92N 82.00W
Re: OK,I am going to lay it on the line. [Re: st.pete boy]
      #38994 - Thu Jul 07 2005 01:33 PM

My prediction:

I'll wait and see what NHC says!

There is still a lot of uncertainty and I would like to see some more models runs and see what the consensus is. They could just as easily swing back west.

--------------------
Jara

*************************************************************


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