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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 240 (Idalia) , Major: 240 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 240 (Idalia) Major: 240 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Rasvar
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Re: Tornado watches [Re: msmith43]
      #40295 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:20 AM

Watching the radar loops out of the Key West radar. I am watching in TV, so no link. I know others can get a link. Probably can get a link at www.noaa.gov/eyw

--------------------
Jim


Edited by Rasvar (Sat Jul 09 2005 02:22 AM)


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Storm Hunter
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Re: Tornado watches [Re: msmith43]
      #40296 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:20 AM

based on ridge instr range and bearing from key west..... center was less than 30miles away from havana... to the ese... center near 81.98west 22.93n... at 10:06pm edt

oh yeah... eyewall should be affecting havana now

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Edited by Storm Hunter (Sat Jul 09 2005 02:23 AM)


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Colleen A.
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Re: Tornado watches [Re: msmith43]
      #40297 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:20 AM

I think the best radar would be out of Key West right now. That's where all the action is for the moment..plus you see almost the entire peninsula on that one, too.
There's a cheery thought, eh?

Are they not doing a 10:00pm advisory? They did 8, 9 but not 10? Dang. Have to wait another hour.

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MarcoResi
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Re: Going West [Re: Frank P]
      #40298 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:21 AM

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.kbyx.shtml

CHEC THIS NOW some nasty bands on there way!


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msmith43
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Re: Tornado watches [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40299 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:23 AM

Thanks everyone

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MarcoResi
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Re: Tornado watches [Re: msmith43]
      #40300 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:25 AM

lol who flicked the swith was calm a min ago now got vertical rain

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Colleen A.
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Re: Going West [Re: Frank P]
      #40301 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:25 AM

Hey, buddy! Hope you're doing okay up there...I sure wish this thing would go away! I don't think he's going to go much more either way...unless something drastic happens when he comes off the coast of Cuba (if that ever happens).
I know you're okay, my friend, I still worry about you, though. And Rick, too. Mom says "Hi" and hopes you fare okay.
Just how much more of this do we have to go through? Hopefully, Cuba will kick Dennis' butt and he'll come off crying for Mr. Wilson.

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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Ron Basso
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Re: Storm Surge [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40302 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:27 AM

Did I miss something earlier but this sentence cuaght my eye from the NHC 9 PM update:

A
STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

Wow, that's no tropical storm type surge. If I was on the coast in Marco or Sanibel, I might want to put on my life jacket.

--------------------
RJB


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OrlandoDan
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Re: 85 degree water [Re: TDW]
      #40303 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:27 AM

Safe move, for both political and real reasons.

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mbfly
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Re: 85 degree water [Re: TDW]
      #40304 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:29 AM

Quote:

Gov. of AL just issued a man. evac. of all of Mobile County, not just the south! "We are not God." - Gov. Riley




HUH ?? Where did you hear THAT ?? So far, all I've seen/heard on the local TV channels regarding Mobile is that south of I-10 has been ordered to evacuate !!


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MarcoResi
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Re: 85 degree water [Re: OrlandoDan]
      #40305 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:29 AM

i live on the water in marco and im a bit worried as my house is only 6 feet above high tide!!

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traka
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Re: Tornado watches [Re: MarcoResi]
      #40306 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:30 AM

Speaking of people learing... I have been watching the devall street webcam (posted earlier by Tazmanian93, thanks!) and there are people still walking up and down the street. I was seeing about 1 person every 30 seconds to a minute. The power has been out down there for about an hour. Is this normal behavior? I would have assumed that with the chances of such a terrible storm hitting the keys in just a few hours, that there wouldn't be anyone in keywest let alone walking the streets. Sorry if it is too off topic.

Oh and as I posted last year (under a login that I forgot) if you are evacuating.. STAY OFF MAJOR ROADS. I relieze that if you are in the keys there is only one road, but else where heed my words. I evacuated one time last year. I started on the turnpike. It took hours to go 20 miles. I was scared to death I was going to run out of gas. I got off of it and got on an old highway. There wan't anyone else there. All of the stations had gas. I was driving at 65mph. When I thought about getting on 75 at the Florida border, I quickly changed my mind after seeing it. 75 was in gridlock up to macon.


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BillD
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Re: Tornado watches [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40307 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:30 AM

They did a 10:00PM location fix. They are doing advisories every two hours, with location fixes on the hour in between.

AT 10 PM EDT...0200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE Dennis WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST. THIS IS
ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM EAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 115 MILES...
185 KM SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

FORECASTER BEVEN

A slight northerly component from 9:00 PM, but short term (last couple of hours) still more WNW.

Bill


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Frank P
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Re: Going West [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40308 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:31 AM

thanks Colleen, tell Mom Hi for me... After seeing the devistation in Pensacola from Ivan I just don't want any part of a major anymore... I'll about as prepared as I can be... still keeping my fingers crossed it stays east, even if its only 20 miles east I don't get the south winds... I think he's been a pretty good boy forecast wise, I just don't want any surprises.. I still like the AL/FL line but the real bottom line .... this really sucks...

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RedingtonBeachGuy
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Re: Going West [Re: MarcoResi]
      #40309 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:32 AM

the nasty bands seem to be traveling about 1 mile every 2 minutes - roughly. They are about 200 mautical miles from Orlando so that would be 6.5 hours before they get there.

I propose that if they continue up the center of the state, Orlando will see the squalls about 4 - 5 am.


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Rasvar
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Re: Tornado watches [Re: traka]
      #40310 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:32 AM

The folks in the Conch Republic are a bit of an odd brew. I don't think this storm was going to scare many of them away. Not surprised they are wandering the street.

--------------------
Jim


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Big Red Machine
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Trough [Re: BillD]
      #40311 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:33 AM

I am curious as to what the effect of the trough will be on Dennis. Will this hamper intensification after he leaves Cuba? How might this change the forecast path?

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jr928
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Re: Going West [Re: RedingtonBeachGuy]
      #40312 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:34 AM

water vapor shows steering from tx-la taking Dennis right into Ivan path. very sad

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TDW
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Re: 85 degree water [Re: mbfly]
      #40313 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:35 AM

mbfly, Local news and a couple of web sites just announced it at 9:30 CDT.

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SirCane
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Re: Tornado watches [Re: Rasvar]
      #40314 - Sat Jul 09 2005 02:35 AM

Well, we're all ready here as much as we hate this after Ivan. Going to be interesting to see what happens to Dennis in the Gulf. History is being made that's for sure.

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