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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida 28.00N 81.90W
Re: Dennis Back over the Gulf [Re: FlaMommy]
      #40771 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:23 PM

Boy..the winds here just picked up...I guess Im going to get the feeder band they were talking about an hour ago. Clouds look eerie..

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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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pcola
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
Re: Dennis Back over the Gulf [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40772 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:25 PM

First feeder ban coming into pensacola..looks impressive

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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: Dennis Back over the Gulf [Re: pcola]
      #40773 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:27 PM

sure does

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dolfinatic
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 120
Loc: St. Petersburg, Fl
Re: Dennis Back over the Gulf [Re: msmith43]
      #40774 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:28 PM

just had a bear of a squall come through. A clear channel billboard across the way from me has just broke and the board is just hanging down. not good. Hate to see what happens to it on next squall. going to contact them to make them aware. hopefully they can get out here and secure it before it blows into our yards or houses. Does appear to me that we may get a little more wind than was predicted

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jr928
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 101
Re: Dennis Back over the Gulf [Re: pcola]
      #40775 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:28 PM

that trough is digging more south than east and is not going to impact Dennis with an easterly push because Dennis will be north of the trough and if anything will get a boost in speed and intensity upon landfall by ms/al/fl borders. pascagoula trouble

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Lysis
User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 451
Loc: Hong Kong
Re: Dennis Back over the Gulf [Re: dolfinatic]
      #40776 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:29 PM

694mb What is that... like a category 8?

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cheers


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: Dennis Back over the Gulf [Re: Lysis]
      #40777 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:30 PM

nothing could ever get that low. ha ha ha

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cjzydeco
Weather Guru


Reged: Mon
Posts: 120
Loc: Sebastian, FL 27.68N 80.40W
Re: Dennis' future movement [Re: Ron Basso]
      #40778 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:31 PM

Quote:

A STORM SURGE OF
8 TO 10 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER
OF Dennis CROSSES THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY.

Is the NHC tipping its hat? Do they expect a landfall in the big bend region of FL now? If so, that will probably mean a little worse weather for us folks on the west coast.




The northeastern quadrant of a hurricane is usually considered worst side to be on because it is the location of the greatest onshore winds. The strom surge is usually much greater on the eastern side of the hurricane because winds are blowing onshore, pushing the ocean waters in front of it. On the western side, the predominant wind direction is offshore, and does not create as much storm surge. The path may have changed a bit, but I don't think the NHC is "tipping its hat" about landfall as much as informing those on the northeastern side of the landfall area to be ready for the expected surge.

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Lat/Lon: 27.8, -80.5
Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Wilma '05, Ernesto '06, Faye '08


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garrison
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 23
Re: Dennis Back over the Gulf [Re: Lysis]
      #40779 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:32 PM

lol

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Cane Watcher
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 17
Loc: ATL/ via Melbourne 33.36N 84.29W
Re: Dennis Back over the Gulf [Re: Lysis]
      #40780 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:32 PM

Quote:

694mb What is that... like a category 8?




You beat me to it, I was about to post the same.


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pcola
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
Re: Dennis Back over the Gulf [Re: dolfinatic]
      #40781 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:32 PM

The storm will turn more to thennw. That was predicted. If it didn't it would hit Louisiana. Also, the NHC forecast of the FL/AL border is still east of most of the models. Also, Pensacola, Destin and Panama City are considered Northeast Gulf of Mexico, NO is central...Texas northwest.

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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!


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jr928
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 101
Re: Dennis Back over the Gulf [Re: Cane Watcher]
      #40782 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:34 PM

east of panama city, I mean

Edited by jr928 (Sat Jul 09 2005 01:34 PM)


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: Dennis' future movement [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40783 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:34 PM

GOM WV loop now shows the Texas/western gulf trough is no longer moving toward the East. Dennis is gaining the upper hand and moving steadily NW which is evident on the radar loops from Tampa and Key West.

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Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 17/10/6


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jr928
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 101
Re: Dennis' future movement [Re: MichaelA]
      #40784 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:36 PM

yes, it's quite clear that unless that trough picks up big time energy this thing is going further west. which may be why they say the models aren't picking up the low and trough, maybe they are but they are correctly saying Dennis will win the battle with them and continue west. New orleans if that holds

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Ron Basso
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 267
Loc: hernando beach, FL
Re: Dennis' future movement [Re: cjzydeco]
      #40785 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:39 PM

I understand & know the NE quad is the worst. My point, perhaps semantics, was NE GOM. would you label Mobile or Biloxi the NE GOM?? The main surge would only be confined to a relatively small area to the east of the eyewall.

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RJB


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cjzydeco
Weather Guru


Reged: Mon
Posts: 120
Loc: Sebastian, FL 27.68N 80.40W
Re: Dennis' future movement [Re: MichaelA]
      #40786 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:41 PM

Someone posted a link yesterday to a color satellite (IR or WV, not sure) loop that showed the whole atlantic and GOM. My computer crashed last night before I could add it to bookmarks. Anybody know what I'm talking about?

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ohioaninmiss
Weather Watcher


Reged: Thu
Posts: 32
Loc: Columbus, OH
Re: Dennis' future movement [Re: jr928]
      #40787 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:44 PM

Actually, when they talk about the models not picking up the trough and the storm moving further east, I'm pretty sure that they are talking much further along the path (up near the tennessee border) They are talking about the GDFL and NOGAPS aligning more with others see:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200504_model.html

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Marie

Back in Ohio from a crazy summer in Mississippi!


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pcola
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
Re: Dennis' future movement [Re: MichaelA]
      #40788 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:46 PM

Dennis eye is really looking impresive.

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Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: Dennis' future movement [Re: pcola]
      #40790 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:46 PM

it is strengthening

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EaglezFan42
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 43
Loc: St Petersburg, FL (Jungle Terr... 27.81N 82.74W
Re: Dennis' future movement [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40791 - Sat Jul 09 2005 01:55 PM

updated winds for west coast of fla to 40-50 mph with higher gusts as oppossed to earlier when 25-35 mph winds forecasted

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