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Archives >> 2005 News Talkbacks

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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: Winds still 100MPH, but [Re: Rasvar]
      #40885 - Sat Jul 09 2005 03:59 PM

good explaination. Dennis' eye is bocoming visible on infared

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sullynole
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 21
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: Winds still 100MPH, but [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40886 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:02 PM

pressure down to 958mb. it was noted in the last vortex msg that radar presentation is excellent!

--------------------
John


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sullynole
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Thu
Posts: 21
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: Winds still 100MPH, but [Re: sullynole]
      #40887 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:03 PM

also, the eye is no longer open.

--------------------
John


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: Winds still 100MPH, but [Re: sullynole]
      #40888 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:04 PM

yep. so Dennis is making it comeback.

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Dougyd
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 17
Loc: Sanibel
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: pcola]
      #40889 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:06 PM

The NHC is right on track.

I think if they would expand the "Discussion" or add an additional report for us "weather nuts" it would help.

It would also be useful for them to discuss why they are "lagging" in different situations, as many of us folks are seeing changes that they "ignore".

I guess they do not want to" open up" as they will be subject to even more criticism if they are wrong.

Just a thought.
Doug
i


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Hurricane Fredrick 1979
Weather Guru


Reged: Sat
Posts: 115
Loc: Mobile,Alabama 30.77N 88.14W
Re: Winds still 100MPH, but [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40890 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:06 PM

I made a post last night that there was another wave out in the Atlantic. Now they have opened it up as an investigation 98L and the models is carring it along Dennis path.

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MarcoResi
Weather Watcher


Reged: Fri
Posts: 33
Loc: 25.93N 81.73W
Re: Winds still 100MPH, but [Re: Hurricane Fredrick 1979]
      #40892 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:09 PM

Hey Any one have a link for the new depression in the east Atlantic starting to get it self together i think

NOTE: I removed your last post. The misleading/unfounded one liners need to stop.

Edited by Storm Cooper (Sat Jul 09 2005 04:11 PM)


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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 238
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL 26.58N 81.78W
Re: Conch Republic Bashing [Re: Dougyd]
      #40893 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:11 PM

Quote:

It would also be useful for them to discuss why they are "lagging" in different situations, as many of us folks are seeing changes that they "ignore".

I guess they do not want to" open up" as they will be subject to even more criticism if they are wrong.

Just a thought.
Doug
i





Very simply, they don't report in real-time. They need to take the all data, analyze it, write up a report, verify it, create maps, then publish everything. That takes time.


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Rob1966
Registered User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 9
Loc: Cooper City Florida
Re: Winds still 100MPH, but [Re: Hurricane Fredrick 1979]
      #40894 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:15 PM

From a "newbe" to the forum, I think you all should give yourselves a pat on the back. For hobbiests to be as thorough, and passionate, and share with others, you should all be commened. I have been viewing posts for 5 days now, and have learned more in that time than in the years of following the media, and other so called "professionals". Keep up the great job!!!!!

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gavsie
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Sat
Posts: 18
Loc: Seminole Fl
Re: Dennis Back over the Gulf [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40896 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:18 PM

Quote:

Yes, that was mentioned in the 11AM advisory; the track has shifted ever so slightly to the east a bit; also models are shifting back to the east (per NHC discussion). What this will do is cause him to track more to the NNW/N over time, which in turn would keep him closer to our shoreline - maybe push him a little closer. But don't expect landfall in Tampa; it'll probably happen closer to Pensacola/Panama City Beach.
BTW...where did you hear that report? A news outlet? Radio? Just curious...not skeptical, just curious!




Some Met on 38 news. I have no idea how relliable his report was. He was the only one I heard mention the shift at the time.


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Jeffmidtown
Weather Guru


Reged: Wed
Posts: 132
Loc: Atlanta, Ga
JB on Fox News at 4pm ET [Re: lunkerhunter]
      #40897 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:18 PM

Did anyone catch JB's report at 4pm on Fox News Channel? I mean is he trying to wishcast Dennis into New Orleans?????
He even called this storm a possible "Anti-Ivan" with a sharp left turn just off the coast and he said it would funnel right into NoLA.

Someone needs to tell him to knock it off with the NoLA predictions before someone gets hurt in the panhandle where about 99% of the mets and the computer models are forecasting.....

Just my .02 worth

--------------------
You know it's a bad day.....when you wake up and see Jim Cantore and Geraldo Rivera broadcasting from your backyard....literally!


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Terra
Storm Tracker


Reged: Tue
Posts: 286
Loc: Kingwood, Texas
Re: JB on Fox News at 4pm ET [Re: Jeffmidtown]
      #40898 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:21 PM

I guess he figure's he's been saying that from the beginning, so he might as well stick with his original idea.... Who knows! The overall Accuweather forcast is much more in line with the NHC.

--------------------
Terra Dassau Cahill


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FelixPuntaGorda
Verified CFHC User


Reged: Wed
Posts: 23
Loc: Punta Gorda, FL
Re: JB on Fox News at 4pm ET [Re: Jeffmidtown]
      #40899 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:22 PM

Looking at the current visible sat loop, it looks to me like there was a wobble? jog? to the left in the last few frames. Any comments from somebody who knows about these things?

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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida 28.00N 81.90W
NNW Turn [Re: gavsie]
      #40900 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:25 PM

As Clark mentioned in his blog, and as the NHC discussed earlier, it does appear that Dennis is beginning to make the NNW turn that the NHC predicted. I've heard 3 stations now referring to the fact that it is/has begun to make more of turn to the N/NW. You can also see it on the radar. Whether this is wobble or a trend, we'll find out soon enough.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
eye [Re: FelixPuntaGorda]
      #40901 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:26 PM

the eye is clearing out on infared we may see the intensity up at 5pm or the forcast up a bit if this trend (eye becoming more defined)

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superfly
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 33
Loc: New Orleans
looking organized [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40902 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:26 PM

Dennis is starting to look very organized... here

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hurricane_run
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sun
Posts: 366
Loc: USA
Re: looking organized [Re: superfly]
      #40903 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:27 PM

great pic and does look more formidable

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pcola
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
Re: NNW Turn [Re: Colleen A.]
      #40905 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:29 PM

The NNW turn has always been predicted..without it, the storm would march ito LA...again..the NHC has been awesome..as to JB..I have been thru 6 storms here in the panhandle and they always turn right before the coast..never left. Even Arlene and Cindy did this this year...

--------------------
Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!


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Ron Basso
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 267
Loc: hernando beach, FL
Re: JB on Fox News at 4pm ET [Re: Jeffmidtown]
      #40906 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:29 PM

Quote:

Did anyone catch JB's report at 4pm on Fox News Channel? I mean is he trying to wishcast Dennis into New Orleans?????
He even called this storm a possible "Anti-Ivan" with a sharp left turn just off the coast and he said it would funnel right into NoLA.

Someone needs to tell him to knock it off with the NoLA predictions before someone gets hurt in the panhandle where about 99% of the mets and the computer models are forecasting.....

Just my .02 worth




Well, he's got a 50/50 chance of being right (just kidding). JB is stubborn as a mule. I'm sure he truly believes this will happen - so it's an error of passion rather than intent. But as a scientist (I am myself), you gotta leave that stuff in the break room and err on the side of caution. But he is selling a service, I guess.

--------------------
RJB


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Nate
Weather Watcher


Reged: Sat
Posts: 40
Re: looking organized [Re: hurricane_run]
      #40907 - Sat Jul 09 2005 04:30 PM

I think alot of people un Florida are just sick of what they have gone thru over the last year. Im jot going to rip on ahuone for being upset at tracks, cause I can see if I lived in a state where a devistating storm was going to effect my family, id be on pins and needles too.

That being said, I do believe last night in one of the other threads there was mention of the strom going more easterly and possibly effecting South Florida.


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