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Archives >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

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Gofins13
Registered User


Reged: Tue
Posts: 9
Loc: Crystal River,Fl.
Re: New list of tracks better than UM/Weather Underground...
      #4161 - Thu Sep 19 2002 05:51 PM

Great graphic Steve--That says a whole lot!

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wxman007
Meteorologist


Reged: Sat
Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL 30.18N 85.77W
Going on the air, but real quick...
      #4162 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:06 PM

More pressure drops....here we go!

008
URNT12 KNHC 192124
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/2124Z
B. 20 DEG 33 MIN N
82 DEG 00 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1244 M
D. 65 KT
E. 150 DEG 05 NM
F. 227 DEG 70 KT
G. 149 DEG 011 NM
H. 982 MB
I. 18 C/ 1550 M
J. 23 C/ 1556 M
K. 18 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C15
N. 12345/8
O. 0.1/2 NM
P. AF966 1210A ISIDORE OB 22
MAX FL WIND 76 KT N QUAD 1940Z.



--------------------
Jason Kelley


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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: Isidore Now A Hurricane
      #4163 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:07 PM

About those graphics , if you notice about 8 hit florida and 6 landfall elsewhere, and all but one gets turned back towards the ne in the long run, so if izzy slows down and hangs out , this has a very high chance of turning back towards florida in the long run?

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Domino
Weather Guru


Reged: Mon
Posts: 191
Loc: Makati City, Philippines
Cuba Radar
      #4164 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:10 PM

Was fishing around and found this http://www.met.inf.cu/radar.asp which seems to be the only Cuban radar I can find. It's annoying to watch but its there none-the-less.

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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: Isidore Now A Hurricane
      #4165 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:10 PM

Actually, whoever said Izzy was moving northward is right. The last few visible shots have him riding the 82N line and is approaching 21N. if this motion continues he may still get east of the Isle of Youth. Now I'm micro-managing...Cheers!!!

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Justin in Miami
Storm Tracker


Reged: Thu
Posts: 269
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Re: Isidore Now A Hurricane
      #4166 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:14 PM

Fact: there is a Biker's Convention in Key West this weekend. Someone picked a bad weekend for that event!

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Kimster
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sun
Posts: 77
Loc: Dunedin, FL
Re: Isidore Now A Hurricane
      #4167 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:14 PM

Just checked out the radar...Izzy does seem to be moving northward again...

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Kevin
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
Re: Anonymous
      #4168 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:20 PM

If this thing stall north of the Yucatan and does nothing but meandering, Florida had better start preparing for a big time diaster. Many storms that stall north of the Yucatan tend to move NE and into the Florida Big Bend area. Gordon did this a couple of years ago. Here in Orlando we didn't get anything horrible but you could definitely tell a tropical system was to our north. Now plug in a larger storm at category 3 or category 4 intensity.

Basically, if Isidore stalls north of the Yucatan there is a very good chance in my mind that Isidore may effect the Big Bend area as a major hurricane.

I am certain a N and NE track will occur, but the question is when it will occur. The upper-level pattern early next week will tell the story, and it may not be a good story at that.

Kevin


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Southern4sure
Weather Guru


Reged: Sun
Posts: 115
Loc: Land O Lakes, FL 28.22N 82.46W
Events planned this weekend.
      #4169 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:20 PM

Get this, on Dauphin Island this weekend is having a kite festival. I wonder.....did they wish for winds?

Southern


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Anonymous (HF)
Unregistered




dont get caught on wobbles
      #4170 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:23 PM

youre probably seeing an illusion. between the last two recon fixes the storm has gone .07degree north, .15degree west. pretty close to the 300 heading NHC estimated last advisory. note that the pressure between the first and third in this set of vortex messages, over a 3 1/2 hour period has fallen 5mb. not exactly rapid intensification, but not all that slow either.
south of the isle of youth, just nicking the western tip of cuba... here goes.
HF 2216z19september


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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida 28.00N 81.90W
Steve H.
      #4171 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:29 PM

Just to clarify my post earlier: I was not directing that comment at you. :-)

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Bruce
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 139
Loc: Palm Bay, Florida
Eye
      #4172 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:35 PM

Can be seen on Key West long range loop.

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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: Isidore Now A Hurricane
      #4173 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:35 PM

Well i guess saturday morning we will find out which turn he will make, west or east , so since we have time is anyone willing to give a gut feeling poll, west miss trough or east trough pickup

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joepub1
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 240
Loc: Jacksonville,Fla
Re: Isidore Now A Hurricane
      #4174 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:38 PM

The visible images also caught my eye in another way. The outer bands of clouds to the north and northeast are truely heading out in those directions without any interference. I don't really know what I'm trying to say, but Izzy may be "smoothing" out to NW motion, as the pressure drops he may start pushing off the little annoying things in life that are keeping him more westward? Just a thought.
Joe in JAX


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Gofins13
Registered User


Reged: Tue
Posts: 9
Loc: Crystal River,Fl.
Re: Isidore Now A Hurricane
      #4175 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:42 PM

I think the trof will be deeper & stronger--than expected--therefore i believe it will drive it nne, towards the big bend.

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Kevin
Weather Master


Reged: Fri
Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
Re: joepub1
      #4176 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:44 PM

I really still see Isidore heading WNW, but this should all change soon. Major hurricanes tend to move more northerly and this one should be no exception. I expect a WNW motion for the next 24-36 hours and a NW motion after that. After 72 hours Isidore may stall, but it is a bit too early to tell.

Kevin


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jlauderdal
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Tue
Posts: 97
Loc: Fort Lauderdale, FLorida
Re: Cuba Radar
      #4177 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:54 PM

Thanks for the cuban radar site. Lets if we can crash their server. That radar looks circa 1990 with the graphics but enjoy the radar becasue its the only cuban rader we've got. This system might start a move out of the gulf around tuesday, maybe.

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rudy
Unregistered




radar
      #4178 - Thu Sep 19 2002 06:58 PM

try http://www.weather.gov and use the key west long range, it's a bit better then the tin foil rabbit ears that cuba is using. Looks NW on radar.

Rudy


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Anonymous
Unregistered




Re: Isidore Now A Hurricane
      #4179 - Thu Sep 19 2002 07:01 PM

nice cat is that izzy

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Colleen A.
Moderator


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1421
Loc: Florida 28.00N 81.90W
Sat Pix
      #4180 - Thu Sep 19 2002 07:10 PM

It is very hard at this point to tell exactly where it's going because they must have changed the vectors on the loops...one minute it's there, the next minute it looks as though it jumped a 100 miles north. But...it is STILL east of the Isle of Youth. We shall see.....

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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