Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Nate) , Major: 61 (Maria) Florida - Any: 71 (Irma) Major: 71 (Irma)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives >> 2005 Storm Forum

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1
Cycloneye11
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Mon
Posts: 70
Loc: San Juan,Puerto Rico
Dr Grays August update=20/10/6
      #46388 - Wed Aug 03 2005 02:15 PM

http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/2005/aug_zzz/aug05.html

Read the abstract of the report.All areas have a superior % of landfalls than average and that is scary.

Part of the abstract at the end speaks volumes:

This is the highest seasonal forecasts of hurricane activity we have ever made.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
CaneTrackerInSoFl
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 395
Loc: 25.63N 80.33W
Re: Dr Grays August update=20/10/6 [Re: Cycloneye11]
      #46391 - Wed Aug 03 2005 03:33 PM

Incredible.

--------------------
Andrew 1992, Irene 1999, Katrina 2005, Wilma 2005



Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Girlnascar
Weather Watcher


Reged: Tue
Posts: 25
Loc: Orlando Florida USA 28.47N 81.27W
Re: Dr Grays August update=20/10/6 [Re: CaneTrackerInSoFl]
      #46438 - Thu Aug 04 2005 12:14 AM

Mind boggling numbers!

Just a observation from a non pro, non predicting weather watcher: If these numbers are a trend ...for 2006..with these kind of numbers will have to make predictions like the first half of the hurricane season and then make another prediction for second half of the hurricane season and then add up the numbers!

--------------------
....................
28.5N 81.2W


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC 33.56N 81.82W
Re: Dr Grays August update=20/10/6 [Re: Girlnascar]
      #46442 - Thu Aug 04 2005 01:36 AM

the hurricanes will come. the objective now is to nail the upcoming weather patterns and figure out who gets hit. worst case scenario is that the mean trough position camps in the east-central u.s. like it did last summer. the anomalies aren't clustered in the eastern atlantic like they were in 1995... should bring 'em closer in and not have 'em all recurving between 45-65w. of course in any given season there tends to be a mean trough position and lots of recurvatures will train on that path. best case scenario is that the config that chucked franklin and now harvey out will be recurrent.. but that early pattern that sent Dennis and emily on their tracks occuring later in the season with a more poleward ridge axis.. that's bad juju for the east coast. that big cross-basin ridge we had in early/mid july coming back in august or september would be bad indeed...
HF 0535z04august


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Girlnascar
Weather Watcher


Reged: Tue
Posts: 25
Loc: Orlando Florida USA 28.47N 81.27W
Re: Dr Grays August update=20/10/6 [Re: HanKFranK]
      #46470 - Thu Aug 04 2005 12:53 PM

Thanks HankFrank for clearing me head. I do so value yours and the others like yourself opinions in here. I have been lurking around here almost 2 years and are learning. This year will definitely be a learning experience for all I suppose. I sure wish I had some technical knowledge to contribute to these posts.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1



Extra information
0 registered and 3 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 5853

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center