Thunderbird12
Meteorologist
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Posts: 644
Loc: Oklahoma
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I assume that report was for an elliptical eyewall, which is 20 miles wide on the minor axis and 30 miles wide on the major axis. That might account for some erratic motion.
Latest pressure falls as of 7 CDT: Lake Charles 2.8 mb, Beaumont 2.1 mb, Galveston 0.9 mb.
Rita looks pretty ill on the last IR image at 2345Z. The eyewall seems to be making a slight comback on radar, though.
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Alwasys In The Wrong Place At The Right Time
Registered User
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Post deleted by Storm Cooper
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nate77
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 80
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I dont know where you are getting strengthning at?
Pressure is up on every advsiory, Eye Wall has been ragged, if anything its weakening.
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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 248
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
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Lake Charles, LA
Houston, TX
Lake Charles NEXRAD
Houston NEXRAD
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nate77
Weather Hobbyist
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Just to note: CNN staellite showed almost a complete eyewall callapsed on there colored satellite image.
Anyone else see that?
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oil trader
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 27
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Quote:
Rita should cross the shoreline near Star Lake and Clam Lake,TX.
This point is roughly half way between Sabine Pass,TX and High Island,Tx on Highway 87.
If this hypothetical track were to continue.
Rita would pass East of Winnie,TX and cross Interstate 10 East of Exit 833.
This is in the Hamshire, TX area and about 15 miles West of Beaumont, TX.
Do you have please a good map link to see that point?
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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 248
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
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LC NEXRAD just showed a cell with winds of 118kts.
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nate77
Weather Hobbyist
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Quote:
Quote:
Rita should cross the shoreline near Star Lake and Clam Lake,TX.
This point is roughly half way between Sabine Pass,TX and High Island,Tx on Highway 87.
If this hypothetical track were to continue.
Rita would pass East of Winnie,TX and cross Interstate 10 East of Exit 833.
This is in the Hamshire, TX area and about 15 miles West of Beaumont, TX.
Do you have please a good map link to see that point?
Try this, may need to adjust
http://maps.google.com/maps?ll=29.384568,-94.347839&spn=1.273175,2.593597&hl=en
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UKCloudgazer
Verified CFHC User
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Loc: Wallasey
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just came back - looking at 4 dif sats - is it me or has the eye disappeared? if so, how will that affect things?
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jmk818
Registered User
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Long time reader, first time poster. If she stayed strong enough, and the land was flat 20 miles inland, would the water pulled ashore be enough to turn off weakening for that 20 miles?
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danielw
Moderator
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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Quote:
Do you have please a good map link to see that point?
I am using software here at work. The point I used was 29.7N/ 94.1W over the beach.
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tpratch
Moderator
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Loc: Maryland
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*SNIP* (with apologies)
Edited by tpratch (Sat Sep 24 2005 01:03 AM)
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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 248
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
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hourly updates from the region.
Lakes Charles gusting to 54mph
link
tides already 3-4ft+ above normal
link
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n1unicorn
Registered User
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I might as well add my 2 cents worth. I haven't read too many comments yet, but am I the only one that saw coming in near the La/Tx border over 36 hrs go? I knew the high was not going to move as rapidly as predicted. Were they just wishful thinking? 
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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It is at times like these as a system approaches the coast that the site can get quite busy. There are ways that you can help to prevent bandwidth overload and administrative actions - simply follow the site rules.
There have been way too many one-line posts and this creates a bandwidth problem. is a Forum-oriented site; it is not a chat room. One line posts seldom offer any useful information, so please make an effort to limit them. A radar cell top at 17K is not useful info - most hurricanes have cell tops at or above 50kft. Two or three frames of storm movement mean nothing - hurricanes wobble along their track. Hurricanes go through eyewall replacement cycles, so one eyewall weakens and a new one forms - perfectly normal.
Put your post in the proper Forum. If you do not, we will move it if we have time, or delete it if we do not have time. If you ask a question about the storm, there is a Forum for that. If you have a storm report, there is a Forum for that. Please use them.
Personal attacks are simply not tolerated, and since the site is getting busy and emotions are getting out of hand, I'm implementing a 'zero tolerance' approach. If you attack someone else, even just once, you'll be placed on probation for 24 hours. You can certainly question the rationale behind someone else's post, but you cannot belittle or otherwise attack the poster.
If you have a question or comment for a particular individual, please use the PM capability rather than a post.
Thanks for your help.
ED
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Allison
Weather Guru
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Posts: 134
Loc: Laredo, Texas
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Your question is probably best answered by one of our resident mets...
with that said, my understanding is that, when a hurricane passes over land, elevation is certainly a factor (such as an island with high mountains), but it's really the lack of warm water feeding the system that is the more significant cause of weakening.
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Allison
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Jonathan Franklin
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 11
Loc: Miami, Florida
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Anyone getting any lead on the storm skirting westward? Reports we are getting are suggesting that the storm is being pushed West at the last moment. One weather guy has it going west of port arthur. Any expert out there picking up something along these lines? Looks bad for Port Arthur.
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LisaMaria65
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 22
Loc: Lafayette, La
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Quote:
I might as well add my 2 cents worth. I haven't read too many comments yet, but am I the only one that saw coming in near the La/Tx border over 36 hrs go? I knew the high was not going to move as rapidly as predicted. Were they just wishful thinking?
From the very beginning, I called it coming in around Cameron, La.
Right now, i'm getting at least 60 mph sustaned winds with gusts probably upwards of about 80.
The house across the street from me has stuff blowing off it...looks like pieces of wood or siding.
The weather here will go downhill in about 3 hours or so. I'm actually quite surprised that we still have power here at my house. It probably won't be much longer!
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Lived through Betsy ('65), Camile ('69), Edith ('71), Carmen ('74), Danny ('85), Andrew ('92), Lili ('02), Rita ('05), Gustav ('08)....Who's next?
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Psyber
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 231
Loc: Ontario, Canada
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And you're sitting there instead of someplace like Dallas, why? 
from the last GOES floater loop, it looks like the eye has almost completely disappeared...is this because it's starting to get starved for energy or something else?
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The safest way to deal with a potential Hurricane hitting you...is to leave and just not be there at all.
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tashina
Verified CFHC User
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Posts: 13
Loc: Austin, TX
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Max Mayfield was just on Larry King....says this hurricane is most akin to Audrey in 1957 - seemed to be mostly talking about the storm surge.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/history.shtml#audrey
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