clyde w.
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 211
Loc: Orlando, FL
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The no longer brings her to hurricane status prior to landfall. Pressure at 11:00 reported at 1006mb, so that is a slight drop. She does look a bit healthier this morning.
I guess I'll stay with my forecast of about 268 posts ago. Kenedy County, Texas north to Port O'Connor as a minimal (85mph) hurricane. If I'm gonna be wrong, I'm gonna stay wrong til the end!
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Domino
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 191
Loc: Makati City, Philippines
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I agree - she looks a lot better this morning. I thought for sure we were going to wake up to a wave. Last few frames she doesn't seem to be going much of anywhere althought the says N at 12. Recon should be interesting this morning. Let's not stick a fork in her yet...
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Steve
Senior Storm Chaser
Reged: Wed
Posts: 1063
Loc: Lockport, LA
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I was downtown, and surprisingly it DIDN'T flood downtown. But all the out-arteries did. The I-10 especially. They said you couldn't get past the Mounes Underpass (I-10 near City Park/Met. Road exit) heading riverbound or off at the St. Bernard, Canal Blvd. or Elysian Fields exits. Let me see if I can find a link to some flood pictures:
http://nolalive.com/news/t-p/frontpage/index.ssf?/base/news-0/105799116674570.xml
http://nolalive.com/news/gallery/index.ssf?/nola/images/2016/index.html
There are about 5 photos of flooding in that spread.
Steve
--------------------
Fear the 2008 New Orleans Saints!
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game
Unregistered
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drylinedroppingintosouthtexascouldwegetanorthturnspacerisbroke
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Domino
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 191
Loc: Makati City, Philippines
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Is it just me or is this new convection getting sheared all apart now?
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Ed Dunham
Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator
Reged: Sun
Posts: 1300
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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I'll let this go for the moment since I have captured the URL, however since keyboards are not costly, I'd request that you get it fixed.
Ed Dunham
CFHC Moderator
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Jack
Unregistered
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You can type a space alternatively by holding down the "alt" key and typing "032" on the numeric keypad, then release the alt key.
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser
Reged: Mon
Posts: 1298
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well, watching the latest satellite vis loop, Ms C doesn't really look to be in a hurry to do anything, intensify or move...
I've been tracking storms since Betsy in 65. what's that 38 years.... and the one thing I know for sure.... most tropical systems do not hit the area you live in.... that being said all it takes is one super cane (ie, Camelle, Andrew, Audry, Hugo) and you're damaged for life.... 38 years of tracking, two eyes (Elena and Georges), one eye every 19 years of tracking, that's a long time... Heck some people along the coast have never experience an eye..
Betsy, Camelle, Fredrick, Elena, Georges, only significant storms within 75 miles of Biloxi since 1965.... 5 storms every 38 years.....every seven years of so... yeah, we had some other close calls, Opal, Erin, Florence, but they don't count, except ya get out of work or school... even if they do hit you really need to be in the right quadrant or near the eye wall to get the full effect of the storm...
bottom line, they don't happen that often, and even less where you live... so for all you wishcasters, and I still include my self in that category, patience goes a long way while dealing with these tropical systems
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jimmy
Unregistered
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I know we have all said it here before, but I think sh is reorganizing. I have lost track of the LLC that was SW of the convection. Could the center have relocated????
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Bill
Unregistered
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Hey- been tracking since 1964---Cleo was my first one to track, she went just off the coast from JAX where I lived....then Dora blew through. I lived on the sw part of town, we got the edge of the eye wall....it was a long night.
Ironically, the worst storm I was ever in was the unnamed tropical storm that moved from the Gulf just N of TPA and over JAX in June '64---a 1,000 foot tower north of us came down, there were 105mph gusts in Jax, power was out for three days...it was a very memorable experience, very scary for a 9 year old! You should have seen how it was, building up that morning...the storm was moving VERY fast....never seen anything like it since (once in Daytona it we got another unnamed TS, and it was somewhat like this one, but not as intense....that was, hmmm, first yr was on, must have been , hmm, 81?).
Have gotten the core of several tropical storms over the years..patience is the thing, the 'hunt' (aka tracking) and the possibilities make it worthwhile...plus every now and then, a storm comes your way...!
IHS,
Bill
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ShawnS
Storm Tracker
Reged: Fri
Posts: 226
Loc: Pearland,Tx
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I don't know about ya'll but she looks to be starting to take on more of that "classic" look of a developing tropical system. there appears to be very nice outflow beginning and deep convection really firing up around what is the center,or what is the so called center right now. That may change, though.
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game
Unregistered
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n/emoving
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Carl
Unregistered
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looks a lot better to me too Shawn...also seems to be stuck in place, or maybe even drifting north a little.
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Domino
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 191
Loc: Makati City, Philippines
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I take back what I said earlier about it not being pretty....it does seem to be getting its act together. I don't see it headed west though still...still gonna stick with New O....I'm hesistant to give my uneducated guess on strength given this storm is very manic depressive....so lets go with a mild cat 1 at landfall?
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Storm Cooper
Moderator
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1268
Loc: Panama City, FL 30.22N 85.66W
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I will stay w/ my LA/MS. I wish I could say I see a N or NE mvt. but it hard for me to tell. I think if anything maybe getting still? For what it is dealing w/ it does look pretty good 
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Hurricane Season 2009 12/6/4
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Domino
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 191
Loc: Makati City, Philippines
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The buoy north of the storm has 35k winds with guest to 42.7k - and after a run up of pressure it has began to fall.
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Storm Cooper
Moderator
Reged: Sat
Posts: 1268
Loc: Panama City, FL 30.22N 85.66W
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Checking more sats it does appear to be some wobble, still can't say for sure. It may be decision time for her on direction. Maybe she will be like Bugs Bunny and miss the left turn at Albuquerue 
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Hurricane Season 2009 12/6/4
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javlin24
Unregistered
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I would not put a whole lot of stock in it new vortex reading 24.5N and 90.7W sounds NE to me The thing is this girl is anybody's guess.the shear to the NE continues.The proximity of the trough is getting close on the WV image.
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javlin24
Unregistered
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II forgot to add recon time 12/1735z.One other thing maybe nothing the clouds over N MS moving SE and the ones from gulf maybe either moving N our just flaring up.Kinda looks like a collison course IF loop.
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game
Unregistered
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frontisclose
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