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Archives >> 2007 Forecast Lounge

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allan
Weather Master


Reged: Thu
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida 29.55N 81.20W
not saying it's gonna develop but...
      #74262 - Mon Jan 08 2007 12:16 PM

don't you think it's a bit early for tropical disturbances??
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/vis-l.jpg


May not even be one but I thought it's a bit eye catching.. I know we had the same thing happen last year around this time near Mexico. I doubt this will get investigated but it looked good about 2 days ago. Some blogs on wunderground were interested on this to. I figured we get a start on forecasting with thsi one but I doubt anything will happen

--------------------
Allan Reed - 18,9,5

Edited by allan (Mon Jan 08 2007 12:20 PM)


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: not saying it's gonna develop but... [Re: allan]
      #74263 - Mon Jan 08 2007 07:39 PM

The description for the Forecast Lounge starts off with.."Have a forecast for a storm or disturbance..."

This is not a tropical disturbance and it is certainly not a named storm. A strong upper level cutoff low exists at 23N 56W. A zone of convection to its southeast is under anywhere from 50 to 80 knots of upper level wind shear. Those conditions would never (and I don't use that term too often) allow anything of a tropical nature to develop.

While this Forum is less strictly moderated than some of the others, that does not mean that it is not moderated at all. Please remember that 'wave mongering' is still not permitted on this site, and your help on this would certainly be appreciated.
ED


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