Current Radar or Satellite Image - Central Florida Hurricane Center : 20 Years of Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

Joaquin Pulls Away From Bermuda. Warnings Discontinued. Elsehwere Mostly Quiet
Number of days since last Hurricane Landfall in US: 460 (Arthur) , in Florida: 3635 (9 y 11 m) (Wilma)
40.5N 49.4W
Wind: 75MPH
Pres: 977mb
Ene at 32 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
Invest 91LClick for Invest Information from CIMSS
Login to remove ads


Archives >> 2007 Forecast Lounge

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1
Registered User

Reged: Mon
Posts: 2
GFS Models forecast
      #75768 - Mon Jul 09 2007 03:55 PM

So far things are quiet in the Atlantic Basin. None of the computers models are forecasting any development over the coming week. On July 17 the GFS shows a tropical wave forming in the eastern Carribean moving up through Puerto Rico into the Bahamas and moving into Florida. Tell me your prediction including factors(wind shear, instability, SST).

Also around July 22 they show a strong tropical wave moving off Africa. What do you predict the future of the storm.

Since this post asks questions based on a long range model output, it was moved to a more appropriate Forum. It is worth noting that nobody can predict, with even a slight degree of accuracy, what a particular wave will do a week or more in advance. When the forecast is based on a long-range model, there is no guarantee that any wave will actually be where the model predicts it to be, i.e., even the genesis of the wave by the model is speculation.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Jul 09 2007 04:55 PM)

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Weather Guru

Reged: Sat
Posts: 100
Re: GFS Models forecast [Re: camille]
      #75772 - Mon Jul 09 2007 07:29 PM

I looked at 168hrs and didn't see anything. Anyways it's the GFS. Should I say more. BUT. It probably is showing that the tropics will be more conducive for development around mid month. For the GFS to be even close 168 hrs out is like saying I'll win next Saturday's lotto. Which I will

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Registered User

Reged: Mon
Posts: 2
Re: GFS Models forecast [Re: camille]
      #75773 - Mon Jul 09 2007 09:53 PM

Post deleted - see the edit to your original post)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Jul 09 2007 11:56 PM)

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1

Extra information
0 registered and 2 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Topic views: 2982

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center