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TD-like #94L has moved inland over Central America with heavy rains and gusty winds. Wave approaching Antilles but shear is high.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 6 (Michael) , Major: 6 (Michael) Florida - Any: 6 (Michael) Major: 6 (Michael)
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Wave Mongering
      #77575 - Thu Aug 30 2007 01:49 PM

Well, not really. Lots of excellent posts on the Main Page thread have covered the potential hot spots, but only a couple of them are likely to amount to anything.

Invest 97L continues as an active wave in the southern Bay of Campeche, however, it is about to move inland into east central Mexico near 19.5N and bring another round of heavy rain to that region. No further development is expected.

Invest 96L near 36N 70W at 30/16Z has an elongated NW-SE orientation with convection mostly to the southeast of the low center. Some development is possible as the system moves off to the northeast ahead of a frontal zone - probably as an extratropical or subtropical system.

Very little remains of Invest 95L located well east of Daytona Beach. The system should dissipate as dry air continues to weaken the remnants of this marginal low pressure area.

Invest 94L near 11N 53W at 30/15Z is moving west at about 14 knots and it is a little better organized today. Convection is still displaced to the east and southeast of the weak low pressure center. Slow organization still seems likely over the next couple of days as upper level conditions slowly improve. Note that dry air is still plentiful but on the wane in the Caribbean Sea.

Finally, a large tropical low near 14N 28W at 30/15Z is moving west at about 12 knots. Modest convection but good consolidation earlier today with a large circulation envelope could make this system the one to really watch next week. Slow development seems likely over the next few days as the wave continues on a westward track.
ED


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