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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

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sdl
Registered User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2
Florida in September
      #79671 - Fri Jan 04 2008 10:08 AM

Hi there,

I'm a novice at this based in the UK.

I'm hoping to travel to Sarasota, Florida around the 22nd September this year.
I just wondered from people's experience whether there is a high risk of hurricanes around this time.

Greatly appreciate your help.

Saul


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Florida in September [Re: sdl]
      #79672 - Fri Jan 04 2008 03:58 PM

Saul:
The short answer is yes, there is still an elevated risk of hurricane activity in Florida at that time of year, however, the Sarasota/Tampa/Clearwater area has not experienced a hurricane in quite some time. Often in late September through October, Tropical Storms would be a greater risk in the Gulf of Mexico and they often recurve toward the northeast and make landfall on Florida's west coast. Hope this helps you in your planning, however, I wouldn't necessarily cancel a trip because of that threat. The chances of any one small piece of shoreline getting a direct hit from a hurricane are mighty slim. I think that one of our Moderators, HanKFranK, has commented on this in the past.
Cheers,
ED

Added: I should also mention that one of our site meteorologists, Rich B, is from your neck of the woods (U.K.) and may be able to help you with the statistics that you are seeking.


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sdl
Registered User


Reged: Fri
Posts: 2
Re: Florida in September [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #79673 - Sat Jan 05 2008 06:16 AM

Thanks, that's helpful.

Saul

(I realize that you are new to the site, but in the future when you want to thank someone, please use the Private Message capability rather than a post. All new Users should make a quick check of the site Rules to become familiar with how the site operates.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Jan 05 2008 11:00 AM)


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3522
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Florida in September [Re: sdl]
      #79675 - Wed Jan 09 2008 08:46 PM

I believe the Florida Record for Number of Hurricanes in a 6 weeks time period would be in 2004.
Looks like 4 strikes to the Florida Peninsula in 2004.
And 1 strike to the Panhandle.

Of the 5 strikes that year Charley, Ivan, and Jeanne were Major Hurricanes at Landfall.
3 - 13 August 2004
Trop. Storm Bonnie
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2004bonnie.shtml?

9 - 14 August 2004
Hurricane Charley- Rapidly strenghtened to a Cat. 4 at landfall
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2004charley.shtml?

25 August - 8 September 2004
Hurricane Frances- Cat. 2 at landfall
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2004frances.shtml?

2 - 24 September 2004
Hurricane Ivan-Panhandle Strike
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2004ivan.shtml?

13 - 28 September 2004
Hurricane Jeanne Cat. 3 at landfall
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2004jeanne.shtml?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tracks/2004atl.gif


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