F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 210 (Idalia) , Major: 210 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 210 (Idalia) Major: 210 (Idalia)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1
dnmcdn1@aol.com
Unregistered




Florida/October
      #79784 - Wed Apr 16 2008 10:13 PM

I have a question? We are planing a trip for florida in Oct. 2008, are we safe? Just wondering!!!

edited title --Clark

Edited by Clark (Wed May 28 2008 11:41 PM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: FSU stats re: HURRICANE DAYS THIS YEAR; historically low [Re: dnmcdn1@aol.com]
      #79786 - Fri Apr 18 2008 12:06 PM

I debated if this was serious, but since it may be...statistically there are infinitely small probabilities that any danger would exist at any particular point in Florida on any given day in October 2008. How's that?

--------------------
doug


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
saluki
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Sun
Posts: 57
Loc: Fort Lauderdale, FL
Re: FSU stats re: HURRICANE DAYS THIS YEAR; historically low [Re: dnmcdn1@aol.com]
      #79787 - Sat Apr 19 2008 01:19 PM

Quote:

I have a question? We are planing a trip for florida in Oct. 2008, are we safe? Just wondering!!!




I wouldn't worry about it too much. Hurricanes do happen here during October (evidenced by Wilma in '05), but not all that often. And as the previous poster stated, the chances of one hitting in a particular place on a certain day are quite small. You might want to keep an eye on the tropical weather outlook in the days leading up to your trip just so you'll know if there's a possibility of anything imminent.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
ClarkModerator
Meteorologist


Reged: Wed
Posts: 1710
Loc:
Re: FSU stats re: HURRICANE DAYS THIS YEAR; historically low [Re: dnmcdn1@aol.com]
      #79906 - Wed May 28 2008 11:40 PM

Quote:

I have a question? We are planing a trip for florida in Oct. 2008, are we safe? Just wondering!!!




On any given day, based upon climatology, you have less than a 1-in-100 shot of being impacted by a tropical system anywhere in Florida in October.

That said, most storms that impact the state in October tend to come from the Gulf of Mexico rather than the Atlantic, often traveling to the north or northeast as they cross the state and interact with mid-latitude frontal systems and such. Still, I wouldn't be worried at all.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1



Extra information
0 registered and 16 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., danielw, Clark, RedingtonBeachGuy, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 4850

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center