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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 45 (Nate) , Major: 62 (Maria) Florida - Any: 72 (Irma) Major: 72 (Irma)
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

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Reged: Sat
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere 80.30N 50.63E
Focus on Low off Georgia Coast
      #80637 - Fri Jul 18 2008 12:32 AM

95L looks like its taking its last shot at consolidating just off the coast. I think it waited about 12 hours too late. As for 94L, still my leading candidate for continued development. Looks like the latest GFS might be hinting on a depression or weak storm in a few days in the west or S.W. Gulf. Then again, and depending on the orientation of the upper anticyclone in the W. Carib., any sooner development on the part of 94L would seem to aid it in a deep layer pull somewhat more poleward.

Here's something odd to me. Latest run of the GFS seems to kind of imply that the monsoonal low typically parked over W. Africa, seems to be leaning westward and extending just off the coast. I've seen this before on occasion, but usually towards the end of an active Cape Verde season, and often resulting in most of the energy, as a broad deep low eventually being jettisoned off to the west. Am not at all suggesting specific development of this feature, just seems like an odd anomoly to a month I typically call "high and dry" ( higher surface pressures and dry Sahara dust ).

Any other "old timers" with historical reference of memory, like to weigh in on this one???

(Post moved to the appropriate Forum. Per the description for the 2008 News Talkback, you can only reply to the topics that are covered in the News Talkback main page leadoff article. )

Edited by Ed Dunham (Fri Jul 18 2008 12:46 AM)


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