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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 40 (Nate) , Major: 58 (Maria) Florida - Any: 68 (Irma) Major: 68 (Irma)
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cieldumort
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1635
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
Invest 96L: Bay of Campeche - Developing
      #85229 - Sun Oct 05 2008 11:36 PM

A small, well-formed area of surface low pressure that has developed along the tail-end of a decaying frontal zone has been exploding with deep thunderstorms within and near the center of circulation Sunday and into Sunday night. As of this post, the surface center is coming off the western Yucatan and entering the extreme southeastern Bay of Campeche. Given tonight's continuation, a tropical cyclone could be forming, and NHC has taken notice.

Early model runs suggest that its movement should continue west-northwestward, but an approaching trough from the northwest could deflect motion towards the upper-Mexico to Texas coastline; perhaps even recurve the feature, altogether.


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cieldumort
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1635
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
Re: Invest 96L: Bay of Campeche - Developing [Re: cieldumort]
      #85233 - Mon Oct 06 2008 10:55 AM

Invest 96L is now Tropical Depression-13. TD-13 is expected to become named later today or tonight, before eventually moving back inland, over southeastern Mexico. More information on what is now our thirteenth tropical cyclone of the 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season can be found on the Main Page.

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