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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 40 (Nate) , Major: 58 (Maria) Florida - Any: 68 (Irma) Major: 68 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2009 Storm Forum

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cebas
Registered User


Reged: Tue
Posts: 1
2010 Forecast
      #87354 - Tue Dec 08 2009 08:40 AM

Tomorrow, Colorado State University will make its first 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predictions.
My predictions are...
12 Named Storms
5 Hurricane
3 Major Hurricanes

The reason why so low because there is a possibility that very weak El Nino conditions may linger over the summer(Jun.July/Aug), but weaken to neutral conditions by fall(Sept/Oct/Nov)

(Post moved to the correct Forum.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Tue Dec 08 2009 09:24 PM)


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: 2010 Forecast [Re: cebas]
      #87355 - Tue Dec 08 2009 09:32 PM

TSR has issued its initial outlook for the 2010 season - the numbers are 14/7/3.
CSU has issued its initial outlook for the 2010 season - the average numbers are 14/7/4.
If El Nino subsides, my initial thoughts would suggest 12/6/3. In the past, after a strong El Nino, the range has been from 11/4/2 (1974) to 14/10/3 (1998). Initial analog years (in order of significance) are 1978, 1988, 1966 and 1998.
ED

Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Dec 09 2009 06:41 PM)


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: 2010 Forecast [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #87356 - Thu Dec 10 2009 01:08 PM

Dr. Gray's early prediction is now available. He and his colleagues are expecting a much busier season than 2009. The PDF is here .

--------------------
Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 17/10/6


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