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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 47 (Nate) , Major: 65 (Maria) Florida - Any: 75 (Irma) Major: 75 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2010 Storm Forum

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Concern - Tomas
      #90020 - Sat Oct 30 2010 12:01 AM

Tropical Storm Tomas located 100 miles southeast of Barbados at 30/03Z moving west northwest at 14 knots. Tonas is already a strong TS and additional intensification is quite likely with excellent outflow, a building anticyclone to the north and SSTs of at least 28C. The following warnings have been issued for the Windward and southern Leeward Islands and Trinidad &Tobago:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
* GRENADA
* DOMINICA

Tomas should continue on a west northwest track well into next week and has a marginal chance of becoming a major hurricane by mid week that could pose an eventual threat to Jamaica, Haiti and eastern Cuba. Note that increasing southwesterly windshear could dampen the intensification process in a few days.
ED


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Concern - Tomas [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #90037 - Sun Oct 31 2010 12:07 AM

Hurricane Tomas moving west northwest at 8 knots in the eastern Caribbean Sea with sustained winds of 80 knots. Tomas likely to continue a slow west northwest to westerly motion through the central Caribbean sea for the next few days.

The following warnings are still active:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

ED


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Concern - Tomas [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #90082 - Sun Nov 07 2010 11:08 PM

The destruction on St.Lucia. If you have ever been there, these are difficult pictures to look at.

Damage on St Lucia

ED


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3502
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Area of Concern - Tomas [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #90083 - Mon Nov 08 2010 07:36 AM

Wow, that's a lot of damage.
Using the Advisories below it appears that St Lucia and some of the othe Islands were receiving 34 mph Tropical Storm force winds for over 24 hours. With winds possibly reaching over 90 mph.


NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
800 AM AST SAT OCT 30 2010

...TOMAS CAUSES DAMAGE ON BARBADOS...NOW HEADING TOWARD THE
NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AT NEAR-HURRICANE STRENGTH...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.1N 60.1W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SE OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM E OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.


NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
800 PM AST SAT OCT 30 2010

...CORE OF TOMAS MOVING AWAY FROM ST. VINCENT AND ST. LUCIA...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.5N 61.7W
ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM NW OF ST. VINCENT
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM WSW OF ST. LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.


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