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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Nate) , Major: 60 (Maria) Florida - Any: 70 (Irma) Major: 70 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2011 Storm Forum

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Interest - Hurricane Katia
      #92043 - Mon Aug 29 2011 07:59 PM

Tropical Depression 12 located in the eastern Atlantic near 10N 30W, moving to the west at 12 knots, continues to slowly organize under northeasterly windshear. The shear should slowly relax on Tuesday and with SSTs at about 29C additional development is likely. Movement to the west and west northwest should continue. Here is a good satellite link that can be used to monitor the progress of TD 12:

EUMETSAT Atlantic

ADDED: Looking a little better at 30/04Z - possible center location of 10.9N 31.1W but not certain. Movement does seem to be to the west.
ED

Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Aug 31 2011 11:22 PM)


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest - TS Katia [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #92056 - Tue Aug 30 2011 09:27 PM

Tropical Storm Katia (KAH-tyah) located in the eastern Atlantic at 13,1N 36.6W at 31/00Z continues to move to the west northwest at almost 20 knots. Katia has good structure and an improving upper environment as the cyclone moves away from a northeasterly shear zone. Continued intensification is likely and Katia should reach hurricane strength on Wednesday. Katia has a chance to be the best kind of hurricane to track, i.e., posing no threat to land but fascinating to watch. Lets hope so.
ED


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest - Hurricane Katia [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #92086 - Wed Aug 31 2011 11:26 PM

Katia now a minimal hurricane located 1165 miles east of the Leeward Islands moving to the WNW at 20mph. Further intensification and a continued WNW track are expected for the next few days.
ED


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Katia [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #92102 - Thu Sep 01 2011 04:46 PM

Katia is now a sheared 60kt tropical storm, but NHC forecasts redevelopment later tonight. Their forecast reasoning has not changed.
ED


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest - Hurricane Katia [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #92195 - Wed Sep 07 2011 12:48 AM

Hurricane Katia about 300 miles south southwest of Bermuda at 07/05Z. There appears to be an upper dry slot that has eroded the western side of the storm with the circulation of the low clouds quite evident to the west of the center. The center itself may well be just within the western edge of the canopy of dense convection. Intensity currently listed at 90 knots is probably rather generous. Movement for the past 36 hours has been to the right of the earlier 120 hour forecast points by an average of about 80-90 miles. With tropical storm force winds extending out to 180 miles in the northeast quadrant, the Tropical Storm Watch for Bermuda is certainly in order.
ED


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