Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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A broad area of cyclonic circulation extends from the Bahamas across the Florida peninsula into the eastern Gulf. This area has some potential to slowly develop into a tropical or subtropical system, but it is already producing heavy rain and gusty easterly winds over portions of east central Florida. As of 08/1245Z, Satellite Beach Fire Station has reported 3.76" of rain, with over 3" at Patrick AFB and as of 8:30AM I've had 2.50" at the house. At 8AM Patrick had a wind gust to 41mph.
ED
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Oct 08 2011 09:51 AM)
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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
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The conditions in Northwest Polk County are slowly increasing with clouds coming in and some continuous breeze. We have had rainfall during the night as evidenced by the wet yard with some leaves and debris coming down out of the trees. All in all it seems tropical and reminds me of the early beginnings of a tropical system. But I of course will go with the forecast as to whatever type of system they want to call it.
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God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Flooding on Murrell Road near Rockledge.
Power lines down and traffic signal on the ground at main gate of Patrick AFB.
Storm total of 5.06" reported from Windover Farms (northwest Melbourne).
At the house, 3.04" as of 1055AM. G32mph at 1016AM.
Patrick AFB reported a wind gust to 44mph at 1003AM.
Jacksonville Naval Air Station wind gust to 43mph at 9AM.
Eastern Winter Springs reports over 4" as of 1040AM.
ED
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Oct 08 2011 11:22 AM)
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weathernet
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sat
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere
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Clearly not tropical in nature, especially given the very broad impact in weather conditions. Having some nice squalls coming in here in S. Florida, however looks like the greatest concentration of rain and steady winds approaching Gale Forece is up there on the Florida E. Coast. Meanwhile lowest pressures are appearing to be close to or over W. Cuba. I believe I saw a 29.88 land report for Havana this a.m. Interestingly, recon has just been put on standby for "probable" invest over/near S. Florida for early tomm.
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Storm Totals:
Vero Beach 4.27" as of 1753Z
Patrick AFB 4.42" as of 1755Z
Orlando Intnl 3.31" as of 1853Z
Merritt Island 4.44" as of 1915Z
Palm Bay 4.03" as of 1920Z
Satellite Beach 5.27" as of 1925Z
MLB NWS wind gust to 44mph at 1841Z
ED
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Joeyfl
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 133
Loc: St.Pete,FL
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Outside the rain it is quite windy here in St.Pete FL winds are sustained 28mph with gusts 37mph this past hour at my location, however the St.Pete measuring station has sustained winds near 35mph with gusts 41mph in partly cloudy skies rain is approaching from east.
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Oct 08 2011 07:26 PM)
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JoshuaK
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 156
Loc: Central Florida
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Solid rainfall for the past few hours here in Lakeland, FL, with some limited street flooding beginning to take effect, and wind gusts strong enough to bring down branches in the 3-4 foot long range.
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Oct 08 2011 07:27 PM)
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moody
Registered User
Reged: Mon
Posts: 2
Loc: Satellite Beach, FL
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Certainly messy down here in Grant/Palm Bay today. Overflowed the pool, filled the horse stalls (spent half the day moving horses and retrenching to drain them). A bit of wind (nothing that felt like more than about 40 or so - was away from my own home so no wind anemometer). No limbs down, just a mess...
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Puerto Morelos,Mx
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Getting worse here in Ft Laud.Surf is now close to the sea wall on A1A.Winds have been steady and strong for 2 days,seem to being getting stronger.This is like getting a Tropical Storm but lasting for days.Amazing how strong and steady the winds have been.
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Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Total rainfall at the house for October 8th was 5.58" - the highest daily total since August 20, 2008 (TS Fay).
ED
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DJINFLA
Weather Watcher
Reged: Thu
Posts: 28
Loc: Sebastian, FL
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Enough rain and wind already! Reminds me a lot of Fay. Usual flooding areas in Vero/Sebastian are flooding. Went to Sam's today and couldn't believe how high the water was in the parking lot, about 5 inches. And that was at 3:00ish! Heard on the news tonight Vero Beach has had over 10 inches of rain since Friday and also set a record on Saturday. I do not believe this county is in a drought.
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Puerto Morelos,Mx
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This is turning into a real event here.Lost power for a few minutes,wind is increasing,heavy downpours.Surf is amazing right now.What is going on with this system?Just crazy here right now!
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Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Puerto Morelos,Mx
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Folks,I wish I could post a video of what is happening here,this is nuts!Getting worse by the min.Feels like a strong TS or Cat 1 here.
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Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.
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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
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Here in Polk County we have had continuous rain all night. It is still raining but I do not have a rain gauge to measure. The winds are dead calm at this moment. We have water standing in our front yard and we are on a hill! Backyard is very absorbant but there is a layer of wateron the ground. No high winds just a lot of rain.
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God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.
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B.C.Francis
Storm Tracker
Reged: Sat
Posts: 323
Loc: Indiatlantic Florida
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Not the case here on the coast in Indiatlantic. Very high winds, lots and lots of rain the last 24 hours. Surf is rough with large waves pounding the beach. We lost a large tent on our ocean deck yesterday afternoon that we where going to use for a wedding . It collapsed into a mess of tables and chairs which is still there until the rain stops so we can recover whats not damaged. Lots palm fronds and tree debris around the area. A lot of people are wondering here on the coast if this was indead a tropical storm which the high winds indicate or is this going to be one of those no name storms that will go down into our local history that caught us with our pants down. Looks like its clearing a bit now over the ocean, but radar is still showwing more showers heading our way. Keep dry. Tomorrow will be clean up time.
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Rainfall Totals for October 8th:
Merritt Island: 5.10"
Melbourne NWS: 5.72"
Palm Bay: 5.98"
Orlando (MCO): 6.04"
Saint Cloud: 6.63"
Winter Springs: 7.17"
Satellite Beach: 8.27" (Storm Total at Fire Station)
Vero Beach: 8.33"
ED
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Rosy
Registered User
Reged: Mon
Posts: 9
Loc: Washington, DC
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As for condition updates, my family lives on Miami Beach on Collins Ave. facing the beach. My mom told me yesterday that since Friday its looked like a "hurricane" to her, which means trees blowing over, higher tide, and did she mention the torrential rain and wind. She told me the sun is trying to come out today.
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sun Oct 09 2011 04:26 PM)
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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The rain has started again and just had a gust to 40mph - and that is a few miles inland from the coast.
ED
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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master
Reged: Fri
Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
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Here in Polk County, right now we have no rain and a hint of sun. The air is still but the leaves are moving a little. I guess the wind is just up in the trees? When I went out today I noticed palm tree bark in a ring around the tree. This bark was closely clipped so it took some wind energy to take it down.
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God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.
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weatherhead
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Sun
Posts: 13
Loc: Florida
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Satellite Beach area of Brevard County is continuing to see more frequent wind gusts in the low 40mph range. With the condos making a funnel for the wind gusts on the beaches, a stop sign has blown over and the Exxon gas station pumps next to the Cove rest. is coming close to losing it's roof as it sways with every bit of wind.
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Claims Adjuster
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berrywr
Weather Analyst
Reged: Fri
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
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It definitely isn't tropical...however gradience on the south side is much weaker than the north side of the system. Shear remains quite strong at 40 knots and either a cutoff upper low or major shortwave lies to its northwest and that isn't indicative of the environment becoming more friendly and a major longwave deepening along the eastern USA is indicative of possibly a Nor'Easter style low...extratropical being pulled up the coast. We"re seeing clusters of light rain showers here in Columbus, GA and really need the rain moving SE to NW...not a typical direction here.
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Sincerely,
Bill Berry
"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"
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danielw
Moderator
Reged: Wed
Posts: 3522
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Current Summary of Airport METAR observations in Florida.
Ranked from highest sustained wind speed in MPH, downward.
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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At 09/22Z, Vero Beach wind North at 25, Alt. 29.70.
Melbourne northeast gust to 54mph at 09/2134Z.
Satellite Beach NNE gust to 47mph at 09/2210Z.
ED
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weatherhead
Verified CFHC User
Reged: Sun
Posts: 13
Loc: Florida
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Pressures have been falling almost 1mb per hr, the last few hours, at PAFB.
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php...9&map.y=183
In Satellite Beach we are now experiencing very frequent gusts in the 48 mph range.
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Claims Adjuster
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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser
Reged: Tue
Posts: 828
Loc: Puerto Morelos,Mx
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It is beautiful here now,but not much beach left.
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Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.
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Sheeper
Weather Hobbyist
Reged: Wed
Posts: 62
Loc: Vero Beach, FL
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here in Vero Beach, we're seeing 40 MPH winds. Quite impressive. I have a bunch of downed tree branches, leaves all over, shrubs shredded. Reminds me of the effects we had from here.
There is also some impressive flooding around the county. Over the last 48 hours we seem to have had 10" of rain (accounding to my informal rain guage).
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Emergency Management Consultant & Trainer
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Patrick AFB G60mph at 2238Z
Satellite Beach G49mph at 2248Z
MLB NWS G53mph at 2240Z
ED
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Power outages reported on central Merritt Island.
ED
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Power outage reported in Indian Harbor Beach.
ED
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cjzydeco
Weather Guru
Reged: Mon
Posts: 120
Loc: Sebastian, FL
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The past two days have been just as bad here in Vero Beach as any full-fledged tropical storm. Here in Vero we have had over 13 inches of rain (according to my home rain gauge) since Friday night. Yesterday it rained and rained and rained and rained. Lots of problems with severe flooding, over-turned trees, and power outages; even so, flooding was minimized by the severe drought lowering canals and retention ponds in the area before this storm. Yesterday, in addition to the rain, we had steady winds over 30 mph and gusts over 45 mph out of the East (according to my home anemometer). Right now (Sunday, 8:00 PM) we are having wind gusts over 50 mph out of the North and an incredible lightning show, although we've had only intermittent rain today. Power was out 8 hours yesterday afternoon/evening here on the mainland near Gifford on the lagoon. Power is out on the island near the beach tonight (we were at Nino's when the power went out). In other words, it's got a lot of punch for a non-storm...
(Post moved to the appropriate Forum.)
Edited by Ed Dunham (Sun Oct 09 2011 09:31 PM)
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gsand
Weather Watcher
Reged: Fri
Posts: 30
Loc: Palm Bay, FL 28.00N 80.38W
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Palm Bay 0030z.Wind around 40 with higher gusts, just had a squall go through. Rain today 6.2 inches, yesterday 5.7. 29.71" Temp 65F
Light flooding on Americana Blvd, no power out yet but heard several transformers let go in the distance to SW.
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------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hazel 1954 Camille 1969 Agnes 1972 Bob 1991 Erin 1995 Charley 2004 Frances 2004 Jeanne 2004 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017
2020 Forecast- 16/7/3
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IsoFlame
Weather Guru
Reged: Wed
Posts: 174
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
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North Brevard/Volusia Co. line just east of US Hwy 1 @ 9:30pm:
wind NE/NNE sustained 35mph, gusting to 50 mph (a gust to approx 55mph was observed around 7:45 pm), moderate to heavy rain (w/ occassional lightning in past hour). barometric pressure dropped .05" in past hour to 29.76"
sustained winds between 35-40 mph have been observed since 6 pm
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CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
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Here is a summary of weather conditions, issued by NWS Melbourne, associated with the un-named tropical storm that hit along the east central Florida coast on October 9, 2011. Note that has stated that the storm will not be upgraded in post analysis.
ED
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
210 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2011
...WIND AND RAIN EVENT OCTOBER 7-10 2011 FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...
...HIGHEST RAIN TOTAL NEARLY 17 INCHES FOR THIS EVENT...
TOP 5 PEAK WIND GUSTS (ALL FROM 10/9):
SPEED(MPH) LOCATION TIME(EDT) SOURCE
81 2 MI SSE PLAYALINDA BEACH 1020PM USAF 60FT TOWER
78 3 MI SE PLAYALINDA BEACH 1020PM USAF 60FT TOWER
75 3 MI E HAULOVER CANAL 1030PM USAF 54FT TOWER
75 2 MI SSE PLAYALINDA BEACH 945PM USAF 60FT TOWER
69 3 MI SSE PLAYALINDA BEACH 945PM USAF 60FT TOWER
SELECT PEAK WIND GUSTS (FROM 10/9 UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED):
SPEED(MPH) LOCATION TIME(EDT)
60 PATRICK AIRFORCE BASE (KCOF) 638PM
55 NEW SMYRNA BEACH AIRPORT (KEVB) 647PM
55 TITUSVILLE AIRPORT (KTIX) 713PM
54 MELBOURNE AIRPORT (KMLB) 534PM
52 VERO BEACH AIRPORT (KVRB) 628PM
51 DAYTONA BEACH AIRPORT (KDAB) 4X BEGINNING 856PM
46 FORT PIERCE AIRPORT (KFPR) 1101PM(10/8),303AM(10/9)
46 WITHAM FIELD AIRPORT (KSUA) 555PM (10/8)
40 ORLANDO INT`L AIRPORT (KMCO) 207PM
40 ORLANDO EXEC AIRPORT (KORL) 222PM
39 ORLANDO SANFORD AIRPORT (KSFB) 541PM
35 LEESBURG AIRPORT (KLEE) 152PM
MARINE/COASTAL OBSERVATIONS...
LOCATION MIN DATE/ MAX DATE/ PEAK DATE
PRES TIME SUST TIME GUST TIME
(MB) (UTC) (KT) (UTC) (KT) (UTC)
BUOY 41009 999.5 10/0120 300/045 10/0120 300/058 10/0120
TRIDENT PIER 999.5 10/0342 360/031 10/0242 360/050 10/0242
PATRICK AFB ----- ------- 030/042 09/2255 030/052 09/2238
LOCATION HIGHEST DATE/
SEAS TIME
(FT) (UTC)
BUOY 41009 22 FT 09/2350
BUOY 41114 16 FT 09/1916
BUOY 41113 10 FT 09/2221
THREE DAY RAINFALL TOTALS THRU 7AM EDT 10/10:
RAINFALL AMOUNT LOCATION
16.79" YEEHAW JUNCTION 8 W (YEHF1)
15.55" 4.8 MI W VERO BEACH (FL-IR-33)
14.82" ** 1.0 MI NE PALM BAY (FL-BV-14)
13.42" YEEHAW JUNCTION WEST (KSAF1)
12.58" 1.5 MI WSW VERO BEACH (FL-IR-15)
12.31" 3.4 MI W VERO BEACH (FL-IR-24)
12.17" PALM BAY REGIONAL PARK (PLBF1)
12.08" 4.3 MI NNW PALM SHORES (FL-BV-20)
11.61" 1.4 MI W PALM SHORES (FL-BV2)
11.53" 2.4 MI W VERO BEACH (FL-IR-6)
11.52" 1 MI W KENANSVILLE (KENF1)
11.49" 2.9 MI NW PALM SHORES (FL-BV-16)
11.26" VERO BEACH AIRPORT (KVRB)
11.00" ** 12.5 MI NNW MELBOURNE (FL-BV-39)
10.23" 2.5 MI S VERO BEACH (FL-IR-27)
10.11" 3.1 MI NNW PALM BAY (FL-BV-5)
10.10" 3.9 MI E UNION PARK (FL-OR-9)
9.99" 2.6 MI SSE PALM BAY (FL-BV-1)
9.97" KISSIMMEE LAKE (KISF1)
9.86" 1.1 WSW ROCKLEDGE (FL-BV-13)
9.94" 0.6 MI ESE CAPE CANAVERAL (FL-BV-12)
9.95" 4 MI SE VERO BEACH (VRBF1)
9.80" 5.2 MI S VERO BEACH (FL-IR-32)
9.49" 2.6 MI WNW COCOA (FL-BV-23)
9.43" 0.9 MI N CHULUOTA (FL-SM-8)
9.41" 2.9 MI SSE UNION PARK (FL-OR-1)
9.39" 9.1 MI N MERRITT ISLAND (FL-BV-36)
9.34" BITHLO 10SSW (WELF1)
9.08" 3.5 MI NW TITUSVILLE (FL-BV-38)
9.03" NWS MELBOURNE (MLBF1)
8.95" TITUSVILLE 8ENE (CTKF1)
8.81" 3.4 MI SSW VERO BEACH SOUTH (FL-IR-31)
8.64" 4.1 MI NE MERRITT ISLAND (FL-BV-32)
8.49" 6.5 MI WNW CAPE CANAVERAL (FL-BV-42)
8.45" 2.4 MI W VERO BEACH (FL-IR-8)
8.34" 3.5 MI SSW VERO BEACH (FL-IR-26)
8.24" 1.7 MI SSE SEBASTIAN (FL-IR-22)
7.95" 1.3 MI E ORLANDO (FL-OR-14)
7.94" 2.0 MI ENE ORLANDO (FL-OR-17)
7.85" 2 MI SW KISSIMMEE (KISF1)
7.83" 9.1 MI WSW DAYTONA BEACH (FL-VL-12)
7.81" 1.2 ENE ORLANDO (FL-OR-13)
7.76" 2.0 MI SSW SEBASTIAN (FL-IR-19)
7.80" MERRITT ISLAND 20N (MRFF1)
7.58" 6.0 MI SSE VERO BEACH (FL-IR-29)
7.54" 2.1 MI ESE WINTER PARK (FL-OR-9)
7.33" ORLANDO SANFORD AIRPORT (KSFB)
7.19" 2.3 MI WNW LONGWOOD (FL-SM-5)
7.11" ORLANDO INT`L AIRPORT (KMCO)
7.04" 1.1 MI NE SEBASTIAN (FL-IR-4)
6.83" 2 MI NNW SCOTTSMOOR (SCMF1)
6.82" 1.8 MI NNW FOREST CITY (FL-SM-15)
6.75" MELBOURNE AIRPORT (KMLB)
6.65" 0.5 MI SW LAKEWOOD PARK (FL-SL-4)
6.39" LAKE MARY 5WNW (LSPF1)
6.27" 3.9 MI NW HOBE SOUND (FL-MT-5)
6.25" FORT PIERCE AIRPORT (KFPR)
6.24" 0.5 MI SSW ORANGE CITY (FL-VL-14)
6.18" 2.5 MI W DEBARY (FL-VL-17)
6.16" 1.5 MI E NEW SMYRNA BEACH (FL-VL-1)
5.80" 5 MI NNE SANFORD (SFNF1)
5.67" LAKE LOUISA STATE PARK (CLRF1)
5.39" 4.5 MI NW DELAND (FL-VL-3)
5.32" WINDERMERE (ORWF1)
5.15" 0.2 MI WSW MOUNT PLYMOUTH (FL-LK-5)
5.13" LORIDA EAST (KREF1)
5.04" 1 MI SSE DELAND (DELF1)
4.97" 2.4 MI N PORT ST LUCIE (FL-SL-22)
4.95" 3.2 MI N PORT ST LUCIE (FL-SL-2)
4.93" 1 MI NW TITUSVILLE (TITF1)
4.92" 3 MI N PLYMOUTH (PLTF1)
4.79" CARLTON 4N (TMWF1)
4.54" FORT PIERCE 8W (NCSF1)
4.36" 1 MI SSW DAYTONA BEACH (DIAF1)
4.35" 5 MI W PORT SALERNO (PTSF1)
4.34" 4.0 MI NE PORT ST LUCIE (FL-SL-19)
4.33" DAYTONA BEACH AIRPORT (KDAB)
4.00" 4.3 MI SSW CLERMONT (FL-LK-15)
3.99" 1 MI N STUART (STRF1)
3.83" 1.0 MI ESE STUART (FL-MT-18)
3.77" 4.0 MI SW PALM CITY (FL-MT-1)
3.57" 1.2 MI SE EUSTIS (FL-LK-2)
3.48" 2 MI NW FORT PIERCE (FPCF1)
3.45" PIERSON 2WSW (LGRF1)
3.85" 3.6 MI E CLERMONT (FL-LK-14)
3.38" 0.4 MI SW CLERMONT (FL-LK-10)
3.22" 2.4 MI SSW PORT ST LUCIE (FL-SL-13)
2.90" NETTLES ISLAND (NETF1)
2.84" 1 MI S LISBON (LSBF1)
2.68" 1.7 MI E GROVELAND (FL-LK-3)
2.44" LEESBURG AIRPORT (KLEE)
2.10" 1 MI NW OKEECHOBEE (OKIF1)
** 2 DAY RAINFALL TOTAL
TOP 10 THREE DAY RAINFALL TOTALS 10/8-10/10 FOR KENNEDY SPACE CENTER
RAINFALL AMOUNT LOCATION
13.14" FIELD MILL 11
12.54" FIELD MILL 21
11.45" FIELD MILL 34
11.38" FIELD MILL 17
11.29" FIELD MILL 28
10.84" FIELD MILL 10
10.47" FIELD MILL 26
10.17" FIELD MILL 20
10.12" FIELD MILL 19
10.03" FIELD MILL 29
$$
BOWEN/CARTWRIGHT/VOLKMER/DIETZMANN
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