Invest 92L is the non-tropical surface reflection of a developing upper level low and at 12/23Z the low was located near 33.5N 30.5W in the far eastern Atlantic about 400 miles southwest of the southern Azores. The gale center has winds of 45kts and a central pressure of 1009mb and the system is moving north - in a cyclonic loop for most of Saturday. A frontal system near 55W is approaching from the west and should nudge the low off to the northeast in a day or so.
NHC gives the system a modest (40%) chance for subtropical development which seems a bit high given the chilly SSTs of 21C. With just three weeks before the start of the season, this system serves as a reminder that the 2012 hurricane season is fast approaching.
ADDED 5/13: Chances diminishing for any additional development of this system.
ED
92L Event Related Links
Animated Model Plot of 92L
SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
(More Tracking Information)
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 92L
(Animated!)
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 92L
(Animated!)
Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 92L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 92L -- RAMMB Info
Floater Satellite Images:
Visible
(Loop),
IR
(Loop),
WV
(Loop),
Dvorak
(Loop),
AVN
(Loop),
RGB
(Loop),
Rainbow
(Loop),
Funktop
(Loop),
RB Top
Loop)
Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon May 14 2012 06:50 PM)
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