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Tracking a Caribbean Wave and keeping an eye on the potential for new Caribbean Gyre/Trough development next week
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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Two more areas with some potential?
      #92593 - Sat May 26 2012 02:11 PM

In addition to STS Beryl, I'm seeing two more areas that catch my attention. One is just south of western Cuba and another north of Panama in the SW Caribbean. Thunderstorm development near Cuba is continuing while it appears to be waning in the area off Panama. Diurnal cycles will eventually tell if there is anything significant though.

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Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 15/10/6


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged: Wed
Posts: 3502
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Area of Interest..NW Caribbean [Re: MichaelA]
      #92650 - Mon May 28 2012 05:20 AM

RAMSDIS has moved a floater to this area. It has a very nice signature at this time. Some of the models bring it into the Western Bahamas in the next few days and then out to sea.



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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 942
Loc: parrish,fl 27.53N 82.44W
Re:SE GOM [Re: MichaelA]
      #92671 - Fri Jun 01 2012 01:24 PM

As alluded to in the tropical discussion, a vortex in conjunction with the upper trough over the EGOM is getting frisky. Recent sat's suggest convection is rapidly developing as the whole area continues NE'wd from the Yucatan...worth watching, IMO for possible, but not immediate, hybrid development.

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doug


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re:SE GOM [Re: doug]
      #92673 - Mon Jun 04 2012 08:13 AM

Looking at this morning's sat loops, the area in the western Caribbean seems to be gaining some organization. Nice upper level anti-cyclonic turning with a good convective flare up near BĂ©lize. Seems to have a NNE drift to it. Shear seems relatively light over that feature for now.

Edit (Noonish): Convection has decreased as it moves northward over the Yucatan Peninsula without any evidence of a low level circulation. Still a watchable feature though.

Edited by MichaelA (Mon Jun 04 2012 12:14 PM)


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re:SE GOM [Re: MichaelA]
      #92674 - Mon Jun 04 2012 03:14 PM

Looks like it was a flash in the pan. Convection is gone and the shear over the southern Gulf has increased. Could throw some much needed rain at Florida over the next few days though.

--------------------
Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 15/10/6


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