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#Ernesto expected to be Post-Trop by tonight. #99L falling apart as it enters "the graveyard" of E Caribbean. Watching #Lane in E Pac.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 314 (Nate) , Major: 332 (Maria) Florida - Any: 341 (Irma) Major: 341 (Irma)
51.9N 20.0W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1002mb
Ene at 35 mph
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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge

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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1673
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
Tropical Depression 10 Forecast Lounge
      #93252 - Mon Aug 20 2012 06:11 PM

The wave presently located in the far eastern Atlantic, southwest of the Cape Verde islands as of 08/20 6PM EDT, has been showing some steady improvement throughout the day today, and now has around a 30% chance of becoming a tropical depression within the next 48 hours per NHC, which could be conservative, so we will start a Lounge on this system.

As of 6:00 PM EDT Aug. 20, 96L was centered roughly near 10.5N 26W (give or take a good bit, as this system still a bit sloppy and organizing). Minimum pressure is around 1010mb, or less, and maximum sustained winds are about 25-30 MPH.

This is where to put long range best guesses on intensity and forecast track. Long range model output discussions are also appropriate here.

(Title changed to reflect system upgrade.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Aug 22 2012 09:42 AM)

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