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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 40 (Nate) , Major: 58 (Maria) Florida - Any: 68 (Irma) Major: 68 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2012 Forecast Lounge

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cieldumort
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1635
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
Invest 93L Forecast Lounge
      #93993 - Sun Sep 16 2012 03:58 PM



A weak area of low pressure has been south of Brownsville for a few days and has been drawn northward to merge with old frontal boundaries. This feature is now being tracked as Invest 93L.

As of 3:45PM EDT Sep. 16, Invest 93L was centered near 26N 96W, and movement is forecast to be generally to the northeast at about 10-15 MPH.

Invest 93L is in a marginally favorable environment for some organization, and NHC gives it a 20% chance of becoming a subtropical or tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.

This is where to put long range best guesses on intensity and forecast track. Long range model output discussions are also appropriate here.


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: Invest 93L Forecast Lounge [Re: cieldumort]
      #93995 - Mon Sep 17 2012 09:42 AM

0% chance this AM. Already being absorbed by the front. I looked at it yesterday and said, "Nah!"

--------------------
Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 17/10/6


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