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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Nate) , Major: 60 (Maria) Florida - Any: 70 (Irma) Major: 70 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2012 Storm Forum

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Patty Near Bahamas
      #94013 - Thu Oct 11 2012 10:25 AM

At 11/12Z, Invest 97L was located at 25.5N 72.6W with sustained winds of 30 knots and a central pressure of 1009MB. The system is well formed with persistent convection and it has been drifting to the southeast for the past 24 hours. It certainly seems to meet all of the qualifications for a Tropical Depression but for some reason unknown to me, NHC has been reluctant to upgrade the system - perhaps the earlier NHC expectations for rapid frontal capture and movement to the northeast may have influenced their decision to hold off on any upgrade.
ED

Title edited to reflect upgrade.

Edited by Ed Dunham (Thu Oct 11 2012 11:54 PM)


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ftlaudbob
Storm Chaser


Reged: Tue
Posts: 811
Loc: Rhode Island 26.19N 80.10W
Re: Area of Interest - Invest 97L Near Bahamas [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94014 - Thu Oct 11 2012 11:22 AM

It is now a TD,moving generally south.

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Survived:
Gloria,Bob,Katrina,Wilma and a bunch of tropical storms.


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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Patty Near Bahamas [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #94015 - Thu Oct 11 2012 12:57 PM

Looking good to me. I don't believe we should be taking into account whether she dies fast or slow, she is here and now on the maps and has looked good for more than the last 24 hours on visible imagery. Also, close in to land compared to many of the systems tracked this year.

(Title updated to reflect change in storm status.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Thu Oct 11 2012 11:55 PM)


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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 348
Loc: Plant City, Florida 28.01N 82.12W
Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Patty Near Bahamas [Re: LoisCane]
      #94018 - Fri Oct 12 2012 12:46 AM

She developed quickly since just yesterday, I thought the odds were pretty low. Anyone think she holds together enough to make it into the GOM? We DON'T need more rain here in FL at this point (53 inches so far this year in Tampa).

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2017 Season Prediction: 16/7/3


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