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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 45 (Nate) , Major: 62 (Maria) Florida - Any: 72 (Irma) Major: 72 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2014 Forecast Lounge

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Invest 95L Forecast Lounge
      #95199 - Wed Aug 13 2014 09:24 AM

Although convection is somewhat limited, a well- developed tropical low over west Africa near 13N 11W at 13/12Z will exit the African west coast early on the 14th. The dry air previously present in the Atlantic tropical region has been modified and it is no longer the inhibiting factor that it was earlier this season although pockets of wind shear still do exist in the tropical basin. Conditions do seem to favor slow development of this system early next week.
ED

Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Aug 16 2014 01:02 AM)


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #95201 - Sat Aug 16 2014 01:05 AM

System has been tagged as Invest 95L located at 14.7N 19.6W at 16/00Z with winds of 30 knots and central pressure of 1009mb. Movement is to the west northwest at 7 kts. Slow development is possible this weekend through Monday.
ED


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 855
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL 27.83N 82.69W
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #95202 - Sun Aug 17 2014 06:28 PM

I'm a little curious here. Is 95L the one that NHC has tagged with a 10 - 30% chance of development or is it the somewhat more robust system to its East? It seems to me that the models are picking up on the more eastward system rather than the one in the mid-Atlantic.

--------------------
Michael
2017: 15/9/4
2017 Actual: 17/10/6


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Robert
Storm Tracker


Reged: Sat
Posts: 278
Loc: Southeast, FL
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge [Re: MichaelA]
      #95203 - Mon Aug 18 2014 12:13 AM

Yes 95l is the eastward system. The one pegged now does not have a invest desgination. The eastward system was dropped after it lost convection with low odd of future development by NHC.
This evening however the east system 95l does look a lil better then it did. It may be picked back up again in a few days.


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