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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 45 (Nate) , Major: 63 (Maria) Florida - Any: 73 (Irma) Major: 73 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2014 Forecast Lounge

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MikeCAdministrator
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Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Invest 97L Forecast Lounge
      #95273 - Mon Aug 25 2014 09:36 AM

Another system is in the east Atlantic that may develop late this week, being tracked as 97L.

Global models keep it weak right now, and generally heading west. Climatology and the current general pattern suggest it stays east of the US, but until a system develops, it's hard to say. It is worth watching as well. Really, anything in August-mid October is worth watching.

It will be watched just like 96L was (now Cristobal) to see what the pattern is. One thing about 97L that's different from 96, it doesn't have the influence of "two systems" like the prior one did, and fits the description of an "typical" wave much better. Which we actually haven't had much of in the last two years.

The NHC gives a 30% chance for development in 5 days, and 0% for the short term.


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