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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Nate) , Major: 59 (Maria) Florida - Any: 69 (Irma) Major: 69 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2014 News Talkbacks

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MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Cristobal Forms and Heading Out to Sea
      #95266 - Sun Aug 24 2014 08:24 AM

The mess that was 96L and TD#4 finally has consolidated enough to become a Tropical Storm, and appears to have done so far enough to the north and east to now be forecast to miss much of the Bahamas and the US entirety. The period of uncertainty that existed in the undeveloped system is now mostly over. Avoiding a troublesome lead-up toward Labor day Weekend.

Cristobal likely will meander around and just north of where it is for the next few days before moving on out over the ocean, it may become a Hurricane over the open waters Wednesday or Thursday.

Beyond Cristobal there may be something to watch a week from now, but nothing currently being watched.

Texas Gulf Coast Links Texas/South Plains Valley Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static) East to West:

Houston/Galveston, TX Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Corpus Christi, TX Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Brownsville, TX Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Imagery

Area Forecast Discussions: Houston/Galveston, TX - Corpus Christi, TX - Browsnville/South Padre Island, TX

StormCarib Reports from the Caribbean Islands

Caribbean Weather Observations

Barbados Brohav Weather Fax

Caribbean Broadcast Corporation (TV/Radio from Antilles)

San Juan, PR Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Various Caribbean Radio Stations

DR1 Dominican Republic Hurricanes

Cristobal Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Cristobal


stormplotthumb_4.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Cristobal (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Cristobal (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Cristobal

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Cristobal
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Cristobal -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


98L (Gulf) Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 98L


stormplotthumb_5.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 98L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 98L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 98L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 98L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 98L -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


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Bloodstar
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 434
Loc: Georgia Tech 33.78N 84.40W
Re: Cristobal Forms and Heading Out to Sea [Re: MikeC]
      #95274 - Mon Aug 25 2014 01:07 PM

What an ugly looking storm, surface low exposed, with the convection all pushed to the south and east. I suppose the stationary front is going to pull the storm off the coast. I don't see any real reason why it won't happen, but Cristobal really seems to be struggling to make any real headway north and instead meandering very slowly north.

Shouldn't cause any real problems for the US though, at least not beyond some high surf and some rip currents.

--------------------
M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2018.


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