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Archives >> 2014 News Talkbacks

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MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Low Near the Bahamas may bring a Rainy Friday to South Florida
      #95300 - Wed Sep 10 2014 07:36 PM

7PM ED 11 September 2014 Update
The area of low pressure, around 100 miles east of Stuart, FL is bringing rain toward parts of South Florida, and the northern side is being "squeezed" out. So what's left is a weak, relatively small, low system with some rain moving into Florida tomorrow. The small size will keep most of the rain to the south, with only short lived bands moving into parts of Central Florida. Beyond Florida, into the gulf, the system will continue to fight strong shearing conditions which should keep it weak while in the Gulf as well.

Notice anything interesting with weather conditions related to this system in your area, let us know In the conditions post.


11AM Update
Tropical Depression 6 formed from what was being tracked as 91L. This system is forecast to stay well out to sea, but may become a hurricane next week.

Original Update
Today is the typical peak of the Hurricane Season, but this year there are no named systems to track. There are two areas still being watched, an area in the east Atlantic being tracked as 91L, which is likely to remain offshore, but has a 70% chance to develop over the next 5 days.

Another area near the Bahamas has a low chance for development over the next few days as it heads toward south Florida. It has a chance to become a weak tropical storm or depression, but shear conditions around it would likely keep it from doing much more. The northeasterly flow should be the main cause of the shear. But it will likely bring some rainfall for a few areas in Central or South Florida. It's a fairly small system, so the area of rainfall may be localized to right where the system is.

Although it is not expected to become strong or even develop, it's important to watch small systems like these as they can spin up and down very quickly.

For more discussion on this system see the forecast lounge for the system.

Recon is scheduled to investigate tomorrow if the system persists.

Full Florida Radar Recording for 92L Approach

East Florida Links Southeast Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static) South to North:

Key West, FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Miami, FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Melbourne, FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Jacksonville, FL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)


Caribbean/South East Coast Satellite Imagery


SFWMD Radar Loop of South Florida with storm Track


SFWMD Full Florida Radar Loop with Storm Track


Area Forecast Discussions: FLorida Keys - Miami/South Florida - Melbourne/East Central Florida - Jacksonville/Northeast Florida -


StormCarib Reports from the Caribbean Islands

Caribbean Weather Observations

Barbados Brohav Weather Fax

Caribbean Broadcast Corporation (TV/Radio from Antilles)

San Juan, PR Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Various Caribbean Radio Stations

DR1 Dominican Republic Hurricanes

Edouard Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Edouard


stormplotthumb_6.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Edouard (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Edouard (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Edouard

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Edouard
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Edouard -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


96L Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 96L


stormplotthumb_7.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 96L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 96L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 96L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 96L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 96L -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)



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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: Low Near the Bahamas may bring a Rainy Weekend to Southern Half of Florida [Re: MikeC]
      #95307 - Thu Sep 11 2014 07:04 PM

Added:

Full Florida Radar Recording for 92L Approach


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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


Reged: Sat
Posts: 1023
Loc: Maryland 38.98N 76.50W
Re: Low Near the Bahamas may bring a Rainy Weekend to Southern Half of Florida [Re: MikeC]
      #95311 - Fri Sep 12 2014 06:36 AM

TD 6 is now TS Edouard.

Fish spinner for sure. No threat to land, or even islands.


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Edouard May Soon be Upgraded to Hurricane Status [Re: MikeC]
      #95314 - Sun Sep 14 2014 09:55 AM

I noticed that at 14/12Z the model runs initialized Edouard as a 70knot hurricane. A convective bloom is occurring to the southwest of the center and a weak eye is somewhat visible. Edouard is a storm with a small core and the cyclone is surrounded by dry air in the southern quadrant. Edouard will remain at sea.
ED


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