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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 41 (Nate) , Major: 58 (Maria) Florida - Any: 68 (Irma) Major: 68 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2014 Forecast Lounge

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Psyber
Weather Guru


Reged: Fri
Posts: 156
Loc: Ontario, Canada
Tropical Storm Hanna Forecast Lounge
      #95365 - Wed Oct 22 2014 12:18 PM

If TD#9 gets pushed into the Carribean and sits there, It could deveop into a major storm. The windshear to the right of the depression is fairly weak right now and although a decent jetsream is in place blocking a run east, I don't see a ton to push the storm north. Right now it's potential to follow some tracks shows it getting pushed back towards Cuba however it could easily stay more north and hit Florida with a much stronger storm.

There's a LOT of land in the Yucatan that can knock this thing (hopefully) down but going into the Caribbean and sitting there boiling is not a good thing if it takes time to reform and possibly take up some of the energy already sitting to the west of the storm.

It's late so the SST's are fairly cold but it seems to be sticking around even with hitting significant parts of land.

(Post moved to the appropriate Forum.)

Edited 10/27 to reflect upgrade to Hanna


Edited by cieldumort (Mon Oct 27 2014 08:57 AM)


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