Erika's Remnant Low Now Over Water

3:30 PM 3 September Update
Dvorak fixes have been restarted today on Erikia's remnant low level circulation. The Low is centered off the Georgia coast and was most recently analyzed to be centered near 31N 80.3W, with maximum sustained winds of about 30MPH.

This low is forecast to move east-southeast over the next day or two, and as it could be tracking off the east coast of Florida and over very warm waters this weekend, bears continued watching.

6:30 PM 2 September Update
Erika's tenacious remnant persists, now traveling east-northeast to maybe even now more due east through southeast Georgia, with convective showers and a few strong storms. This feature has become a little better defined today, and could be crossing into the warm coastal waters overnight. As a few model runs have off and on suggested some regeneration possibilities once offshore, despite the odds, persistent features such as this always bear watching.

3:00 AM 31 August Update
Fred has continued to intensify overnight, becoming the second hurricane of the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Hurricane conditions are approaching or occurring throughout the Cape Verde Islands this morning - an incredibly rare occurrence.

Ex-Erika's chances are down to zero for regeneration as not much of it is left.

2:30 PM 30 August Update
Fred is quickly approaching hurricane status and Hurricane Warnings are now up for the Cape Verde islands. If a Hurricane Fred goes over the Cape Verde, it would only be the 3rd recorded time a hurricane has crossed the island.

Cape Verde Webcam Record of Fred Approach

Erika's chances have dropped to near nil for regeneration, the upper level low has mostly moved on so the remainder of rain will be bandy, and mostly in south Florida until later tonight.

Original Update

The Erika remnants being tracked as Invest 90L have blown up some big convection overnight between Cuba and South Florida. These remnants have been trying to reorganize some, and there now appears to be two distinct vorticity maxima along this trough, one near the Keys, and the other over or just south of central Cuba.

While puts the odds of redevelopment into a Tropical Cyclone at a rather low 30%, many of the effects will and have been the same (heavy to locally very heavy and potentially flooding thunderstorm rains, strong wind gusts, and possibly isolated waterspouts/weak tornadoes).

In addition to x-Erika in the western Atlantic, Tropical Storm Fred has formed just southeast of the Cape Verde Islands, which is now under a Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch. Fred is forecast to track northwest, and then turn west-northwesterly. More about Fred: FRED LOUNGE

Meanwhile in the Pacific, two large and major hurricanes are on courses causing some concern in the Hawaiian Islands - certainly a trend this year. More about Ignacio HERE (IGNACIO LOUNGE), and Jimena HERE (JIMENA LOUNGE).

Erika & Fred Links

Florida Radar Recording of Erika Approach

Guantanamo Bay, Cuba Radar Recording of Erika Approach

flhurricane Cuba Radar Recording of Erika approach

flhurricane East Caribbean Radar Recording of Erika approach

flhurricane San Juan, PR Radar Recording of Erika approach

TD#7 Event Related Links

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

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