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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 40 (Nate) , Major: 58 (Maria) Florida - Any: 68 (Irma) Major: 68 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2015 Storm Forum

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Interest - TS Grace
      #95910 - Fri Sep 04 2015 12:57 AM

At 04/00Z, Invest 91L was located at 10.7N 16.9W or just off the coast of west Africa well to the southeast of the Cape Verde Islands with winds of 20 knots and a central pressure of 1010MB. Movement was to the west at 15 knots and a west to west northwest movement should continue for the next few days. The wave has good convective structure. SSTs are 29C but westerly windshear should limit any additional development for the next day or two. On Sunday the westerly windshear should diminish and further development is possible at that time as conditions improve.
ED

(Title updated to reflect current storm status.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Sep 05 2015 07:03 PM)


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest - TS Grace [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #95918 - Sun Sep 06 2015 12:26 PM

At 06/15Z, Tropical Storm Grace was located well to the southwest of the Cape Verde Islands near 15N 30W. Movement was to the west and with a rebuilding high pressure ridge to the north, a general westward movement is likely for the remainder of the week. The environment favors some additional intensification over the next couple of days, however westerly windshear and a large area of dry air, currently along 15N from 40W to 65W, should inhibit development by mid-week. Any impact on the Lesser Antilles would be in the late Friday to early Saturday timeframe with the caveat that the system could be rather weak at that time.
ED


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