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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 41 (Nate) , Major: 59 (Maria) Florida - Any: 69 (Irma) Major: 69 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2015 Storm Forum

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Interest - TD 10
      #95941 - Mon Sep 14 2015 02:48 PM

Yet another well developed tropical wave has made its way off the west African coast. At 14/18Z, Invest 95L was located at approximately 8.5N 20.5W with winds at 20-25 knots, pressure at 1010MB and movement to the west to west northwest at almost 20 knots. Cyclonic circulation is already evident in the cloud structure and a large convective envelope is developing. With light windshear and SSTs of 28C, additional development is likely. This particular Invest has moved off the coast at a more southern latitude and could slowly increase in intensity for a few days - but once the system gains some latitude, a strong zone of westerly windshear still rules the tropical north Atlantic north of 15N. If 93L to its west manages to develop (which is still an unknown) it would likely move to the northwest to north and build a ridge to the south of it. This ridge would reduce the windshear and force 95L to take more of a westerly track across at least the eastern half of the basin so to a certain extent the future of 93L will influence the future track of 95L. The next name on the Atlantic list this season is Ida.
ED

Title changed to reflect upgrade to TD 10

Edited by cieldumort (Fri Sep 18 2015 11:29 AM)


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