Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Non-Tropical Invest 90L continues producing gales east of the Bahamas #flhurricane.com
# of days since last Hurricane Landfall - US: Any 172 (Matthew) , Major: 4174 (11 y 5 m) (Wilma) Florida - Any: 208 (Hermine) Major: 4174 (11 y 5 m) (Wilma)
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives >> 2015 Forecast Lounge

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1
cieldumort
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1403
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
Kate Lounge
      #96115 - Fri Nov 06 2015 02:59 PM



As of Friday Nov 6, 2015 a large area of disturbed weather associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a tropical wave was tracking west to west-northwest into the Lesser Antilles and far eastern Caribbean. While upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for development, they are expected to become less hostile over the coming weekend, and could even turn favorable into early next week. Interests in the eastern Caribbean, Lesser Antilles to the Bahamas may want to monitor this feature for the prospect of future development. Regardless of development, scattered blustery tropical downpours and some thunderstorms will likely occur along its path.

Invest 94L was declared a tropical depression at 10PM Sunday Nov 8, becoming the twelfth officiated tropical cyclone of the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season . TWELVE is forecast to intensify and become Kate on Monday the 9th.

TWELVE has intensified and is now Tropical Storm Kate.

Kate became the latest forming in-season hurricane for so far northwest in the Atlantic basin in the reliable record, as well as the latest hurricane to form in the entire Atlantic basin since 2005.



Edited by cieldumort (Mon Nov 16 2015 05:23 PM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 898
Loc: parrish,fl 27.53N 82.44W
Re: Lesser Antilles Disturbance [Re: cieldumort]
      #96116 - Fri Nov 06 2015 03:06 PM

the two better models GFS and ECMWF have an interest in this feature...not so much in the GOM feature...

--------------------
doug


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
craigm
Storm Tracker


Reged: Wed
Posts: 297
Loc: Palm City, Florida 27.17N 80.27W
Re: Lesser Antilles Disturbance [Re: doug]
      #96117 - Sat Nov 07 2015 09:30 AM

NHC 5 day at 50%. Unseasonably warm in Florida for November Temps in the upper 80's for the last couple weeks No let up in sight.

--------------------
Why I'm here:
Frances,Jeanne,Wilma,worked on Andrew damage


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Ed DunhamAdministrator
Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: TS Kate Lounge [Re: cieldumort]
      #96120 - Sun Nov 08 2015 10:47 AM

Probability for additional development now up to 70 percent. Heading for Bahamas with good chance for TD status in a day or two. Early expectation is for cold front to keep system away from Florida but timing could make it a close call. The next name on the list is Kate.
ED

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Nov 09 2015 09:08 AM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1



Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 2252

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center