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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Nate) , Major: 60 (Maria) Florida - Any: 70 (Irma) Major: 70 (Irma)
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Archives >> 2016 Forecast Lounge

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cieldumort
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1635
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
TS Lisa Lounge
      #96976 - Sat Sep 17 2016 03:01 AM



Another vigorous tropical wave that has recently entered the far eastern Atlantic has just been Invest tagged 96L.

Invest 96L is presently centered near 12N 19W with deep convection noted primarily in the northern semicircle. At last estimate, maximum sustained winds are around 20 knots, with a minimum central pressure of about 1009mb.

This system looks like it may be making an early curve and/or reformation to the northwest, and will likely be affecting the Cabo Verde islands with blustery showers soon, but tropical cyclone development is forecast to be slow, and it may or may not become one before or while over those islands. NHC is giving it 60% odds of becoming a TD or named storm within 5 days.

Early model guidance suggests a fish spinner in the far east Atlantic, but all Lounge caveats really apply this early and this far out at sea.

Invest 96L has become TD THIRTEEN. Has become Tropical Storm Lisa. Title has been updated.

Edited by cieldumort (Tue Sep 20 2016 11:34 AM)


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cieldumort
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1635
Loc: Austin, Tx 30.40N 97.80W
Re: TS Lisa Lounge [Re: cieldumort]
      #96984 - Tue Sep 20 2016 11:43 AM

TD13 has become Tropical Storm Lisa, the twelfth named tropical cyclone of the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
Lisa is expected to turn poleward while out at sea.




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