F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 201 (Idalia) , Major: 201 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 201 (Idalia) Major: 201 (Idalia)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1 | 2 | (show all)
MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4542
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: HUR Jose Lounge [Re: ftlaudbob]
      #98923 - Fri Sep 15 2017 12:06 PM

12z GFS, Jose's western eyewall clips Nantucket island as cat 2/3 Wednesday morning. Then stays offshore Ukmet shifted a bit east and is offshore.


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Prospero
Storm Tracker


Reged: Fri
Posts: 267
Loc: Gulfport, FL
Re: HUR Jose Lounge [Re: MikeC]
      #98941 - Sat Sep 16 2017 09:43 PM

Leaving Florida on Friday for Vermont for a few days. After a week of hot muggy suffering here, I am looking forward to some nice cool days, colorful trees with leaves turning, and a small intimidate beer fest at Mad River Glen ski area. I am NOT looking forward to power outages or floods in the VT mountains. I assume there is little to no risk of that, but I'll be checking Florida Hurricane dot com for latest info!



--------------------
Gulfport Florida Webcam - Gulfport Florida Weather Station - Clearwater Beach Cams


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: HUR Jose Lounge [Re: MikeC]
      #98959 - Mon Sep 18 2017 12:20 PM

this thing has been named only since the 5th, but doesn't it seem like its been a whole lot longer than that?...the record is 28 days...so half way there, but the 11:00 seems to point to "the end" in a few days... good riddance!

--------------------
doug


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
cieldumortModerator
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: HURRICANE Jose Lounge [Re: cieldumort]
      #98971 - Mon Sep 18 2017 09:05 PM

Jose's location and strength.. which could be determined by whether he is still tropical, sub-tropical, post-tropical, or a messy mish-mash of the three .. will likely have significant influence on the future track of Maria. Heading into sunset tonight, deep convection can be seen blowing up near or just about over Jose's exposed LLC Jose potentially has another day or two left over warmish, mostly Gulf Stream waters, before his forecast track kicks him over cooler SSTs, which would likely speed up his post-tropical transition. A very weak or basically non-existent Jose in a few days could result in the closing up of the weakness through which Maria would otherwise probably find her way eventually out to sea with.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
cieldumortModerator
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: HURRICANE Jose Lounge [Re: cieldumort]
      #99020 - Fri Sep 22 2017 09:37 PM

'After 70 advisories, enough is enough.'
Quote:

Post-Tropical Cyclone Jose Discussion Number 70
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
500 PM AST Fri Sep 22 2017

After 70 advisories, enough is enough. The tropical-storm-force
winds from Jose have finally subsided and moved out of the
southern New England. Thus, the wind hazard to land has decreased,
and this will be the last advisory on Jose since it is already
post-tropical. A slow decay over cold water is forecast while the
low drifts southeastward to southward. The cyclone should
degenerate into a trough within 3 days as forecast by the global
models.

The swell and rip current threat will remain across large portions
of the U.S. east coast for quite some time, due to the wave field
from both Jose and Maria.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/2100Z 39.3N 69.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 23/0600Z 39.1N 69.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
24H 23/1800Z 38.7N 68.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 24/0600Z 38.4N 67.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 24/1800Z 38.2N 68.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake




Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | (show all)



Extra information
0 registered and 14 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., danielw, Clark, RedingtonBeachGuy, SkeetoBite, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 48329

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center