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Eresto Staying out to Sea. 99L is a low development chance (20%) system approaching the eastern Caribbean.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 312 (Nate) , Major: 330 (Maria) Florida - Any: 340 (Irma) Major: 340 (Irma)
40.8N 44.1W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1008mb
Nne at 13 mph
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General Discussion >> 2018 Forecast Lounge

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Reged: Sun
Posts: 3955
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Hector Lounge (Central Pacific Hawaii Potential Threat)
      #99353 - Thu Aug 02 2018 09:52 PM

Hurricane Hector has increased to 110mph winds tonight, and the official forecast is starting to close in near Hawaii, so we're going to start watching it.

The GFS Model currently shows a Category 2 Hurricane making landfall from the east on the Big Island of Hawaii late Wednesday night (Hawaii Time) in the Puna Region of the big island of Hawaii. This will likely change some as the days progress, but it is important to watch into next week. It is weakening (slowly) as it approaches, however. Combined with the active lava flows in the Puna region, and the non-native Albizia trees (Which break easily in strong winds) it may cause a bit of trouble even if it isn't a hurricane at landfall.

The Euro keeps it south of Hawaii, but has trended north. CMC also keeps it south

FV3 GFS is weaker, but does take it right over the Big Island. We'll update the lounge over time to see if the storm trends toward or away from Hawaii.

Central Pacific Hurricane Center

Hawaiian Media:


KITV 4 - Honolulu (ABC)

KHON 2 - Honolulu (Fox)

Hawaii News Now KGMB 9 (CBS)/KHNL 13 (NBC)


Hawaii 24/7 (Big Island Newspaper)

Hawaii Tribune-Herald

Maui News

Honolulu Star Advertiser


Big Island News Now

Hawaii Tracker Big Island News

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Reged: Sun
Posts: 3955
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: Hector Lounge (Central Pacific Hawaii Potential Threat) [Re: MikeC]
      #99355 - Fri Aug 03 2018 10:19 AM

6Z GFS Model run now stays south of Hawaii, as does Euro. Which is great news for Hawaii. We'll keep monitoring it for chagnes.

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