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Cristobal slightly stronger with 45MPH winds. Flooding rainfall in the Tabasco, Veracruz, and Campeche regions of Mexico.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 270 (Dorian) , Major: 601 (Michael) Florida - Any: 601 (Michael) Major: 601 (Michael)
19.1N 92.3W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 996mb
Moving:
S at 1 mph
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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today

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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 875
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Invest 90L > TS Arthur
      #100945 - Sat May 16 2020 08:48 AM

As of this morning, the system still appears to be undergoing quite a bit of shear with the relative LL center S/SE of Miami and the majority of the scattered convection over the Bahamas. The U of Wisconsin products are indicating that the shear decreases as the LL system moves Northeastward. Some development remains likely tomorrow when the LL system moves toward the NNE. The FSU model ensembles are indicating that development and generally taking it along the Atlantic coast toward New England.

--------------------
Michael

Personal Weather Station

2020 “guess:” 15/8/3
2020 Actual: 3/0/0

Edited by MichaelA (Sun May 17 2020 05:10 PM)


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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged: Thu
Posts: 875
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Invest 90L [Re: MichaelA]
      #100946 - Sat May 16 2020 09:36 AM

It's looking like the LLC is now between FL and the NWestern Bahamas in latest Sat and radar views. Hurricane Hunters scheduled to investigate later today.

--------------------
Michael

Personal Weather Station

2020 “guess:” 15/8/3
2020 Actual: 3/0/0


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