Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

Chill falls over the Atlantic as the official season heads towards close
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 92 (Idalia) , Major: 92 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 92 (Idalia) Major: 92 (Idalia)
Login to remove ads


General Discussion >> 2023 Forecast Lounge

Jump to first unread post. Pages: 1
Weather Analyst

Reged: Wed
Posts: 295
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
22L Lounge
      #114840 - Fri Nov 10 2023 08:43 AM

Seems like the GFS has been calling for a TC to develop in the western Caribbean Sea for over a month, now the NHC 7-day tropical weather outlook mentions the possibility:

A broad area of low pressure could form in the southwestern Caribbean Sea by the middle of next week. Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter as it meanders over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

The model-forecast area of broad low pressure in the western Caribbean has materialized and is now being tracked as an Invest, 98L, and the title has been updated accordingly
- Ciel 2023-11-15 18:00z

TWENTY-TWO 11-16-23 18:00z - Ciel

Edited by cieldumort (Thu Nov 16 2023 03:15 PM)

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Weather Analyst

Reged: Wed
Posts: 295
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: Broad area of low pressure developing next week in the SW Caribbean [Re: IsoFlame]
      #114841 - Mon Nov 13 2023 09:05 AM

In addition to better chances for the SW Caribbean low to eventually develop this week, now there's modeling that suggests the non-tropical low that soaked coastal TX/LA last weekend will eject across the northern GOMEX this week (bringing much needed rain to the Florida peninsula), then wrap up into a fairly strong (989 mb) hybrid low off Florida's east coast later in the week before departing rapidly NE over the Atlantic.by next weekend.

CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster: https://www.surf-station.com/north-florida-surf-forecast-3/

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1

Extra information
0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  CFHC, MikeC, Ed Dunham, Colleen A., Atricks, danielw, Clark, Christine H, RedingtonBeachGuy, SkeetoBite, Bloodstar, tpratch, typhoon_tip, cieldumort, Jackie M, Wigeon, Hank Buck 

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Topic views: 563

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center