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Dennis Nearing Landfall
      #41620 - Sun Jul 10 2005 12:40 PM

#62 Published Sunday July 10, 2005 at 12:30 pm EDT

At the 11:00 am EDT advisory Hurricane Dennis has a sustained wind of 140 mph, still a CAT 4 cyclone. He is at position 29.4 N 86.7 W with a minimum barometric pressure of 27.46". He is currently on a NNW heading or approximately 350 degrees at a speed of 18 mph. During the past 3 hours he has been wobbling on a heading between approximately 350-000 degrees.

Looking at the latest satellite imagery Dennis is now losing that classic super cyclone appearance as wind shear starts to make it's impact. As he is also now moving over a cooler water temperature eddy he is beginning to weaken per my forecast. It appears that he will make landfall as a strong CAT 3 to weak CAT 4.

Looking at the latest radar loop trends it appears that landfall will be somewhere between just east of the Florida Alabama line and Pensacola Bay in 2-3 hours. This landfall will be the worst case scenario for Pensacola and Pensacola Bay. A last minute wobble could shift landfall a little further west or east but either way the Pensacola to Fort Walton Beach window will be hit very hard.

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