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Models are starting to notice trof in the Gulf. Could become yet another TD-like system this weekend, even if not named. #txwx
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 334 (Nicholas) , Major: 349 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1403 (Michael) Major: 1403 (Michael)
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Reged: Sat
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Loc: NWArkansas
      #96916 - Sat Sep 03 2016 10:02 AM


This storm could be a real problem for the North East.

And I've been googling the region. Places where I know the barrier island was cut
Are not showing up.

Another difference from Sandy. A Cut off Low Hybrid. Or is that a Rex Block?
ProMets please educate a rube....thanks.

Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Sep 03 2016 10:25 AM)

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)

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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Hermine Forecast Lounge [Re: cieldumort]
      #96917 - Sat Sep 03 2016 11:01 AM

As cieldumort noted earlier: "Just a reminder to members new and old, let's please keep messaging to private IMs during active events. It will help to keep the forum free of clutter for those needing to find valuable information fast."

As we get into the more active part of the season we all need to remember that CFHC is not a free-for-all chat room. Rather it is a topic oriented forum that provides commentary - usually on a specific storm or subject. For those newer members who may not know where to find the site guidelines, here is a link:

CFHC Rules for Posting

When a new storm approaches there is a tendency to be the first to put up the latest NHC bulletin - but we ask that you do not do this. The NHC bulletins are immediately available as drop-down text on the Main Page. A reminder from the site rules:

"Entire Article/Advisory Reposting: Don't do it. The main page has most of the advisories and just tend to clutter the site. It is likely to be edited down or graveyarded depending on how much content other than the article/advisory is there. If there's a specific part of an advisory or article, reposting that excerpt with discussion is fine."

Thanks for your help with this.

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Verified CFHC User

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Posts: 14
Loc: NWArkansas
Re: Hermine Forecast Lounge [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #96925 - Mon Sep 05 2016 09:58 AM

Hello! Anybody here?

I'll just put this here for comments by the ProMets.



This storm's a big headache. As soon as everyone was certain this was going to stay east due to the nonstop east movement yesterday and all the models shifting east with it, now they've all shifted extremely far west. What's even stranger is some show it coming back to the coast and dissipating.

If it keeps that huge wind field and it gets as far west as the GFS, euro and the other runs have it, then they might have to reissue some of the warnings they finally ended up dropping :\

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