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#Maria affecting DR, Approaching Turks and Caicos, but very likely to stay well east of the mainland US. PR seeing the last bands today.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 2 (Maria) , Major: 2 (Maria) Florida - Any: 12 (Irma) Major: 12 (Irma)
39.3N 69.1W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 996mb
Moving:
Se at 3 mph
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31.9N 49.2W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1009mb
Moving:
N at 6 mph
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24.8N 72.0W
Wind: 120MPH
Pres: 952mb
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Nnw at 9 mph
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News Talkback >> 2017 News Talkbacks

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MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 3862
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Tropical Storm Maria, Lee, and Hurricane Jose
      #98912 - Thu Sep 14 2017 02:23 PM

5PM EDT 16 September 2017 Update
Maria has formed frop Tropical Depression 15,

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* St. Lucia
* Martinique and Guadeloupe
* Dominica
* Barbados
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Puerto Rico and the Virgini Islands may also be directly affected by Maria. Beyond that too soon to tell, but the US should watch it also.


8AM EDT 16 September 2017 Update
Recon has a busy next couple of days ahead. Multiple flights are planned into Jose, with hunters now also starting to be tasked with Invest 96L, which is likely to be named this weekend, and which may in fact already be a tropical storm at the time of this update (there have just not been any reliable or conclusive microwave passes recently).

Tentative recon plans for the weekend include
Quote:


A. CONTINUE 12 HRLY FIXES OF JOSE
B. LOW LEVEL INVEST AT 17/1800Z NEAR 13.5N 56.5W.
C. A G-IV FLIGHT DEPARTING AT 17/1730Z FOR JOSE.
D. P-3 TDR JOSE FLIGHTS EVERY 12 HRS STARTING AT 17/2000Z.




Both Jose and 96L (Likely soon Lee or Maria) are potential threats to land next week. Elsewhere, FOURTEEN is still way out in the Atlantic.
-Ciel

5AM EDT 15 September 2017 Update
Tropical Depression 14 has formed in the east Atlantic (from 97L), this one is most likely to stay out to sea. 96L has an 80% chance for development over the next few days, and the eastern Caribbean Leewards should keep watch on this system.

Jose continues to churn in the Atlantic, and should be watched, particularly from North Carolina northward into New England as some of the models have it close or making landfall next week.

Original Update
Irma's aftermath is still being felt across the Caribbean and Florida, Southeast, but that is not the only storm. Jose, recently downgraded to Tropical Storm, is still worth monitoring since the edge of the cone is in the Outer Banks currently,

There is also two waves, 96 and 97, which should be watched into next week.

More to come later

Jose Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Jose


stormplotthumb_12.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Jose (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Jose (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Jose

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Jose
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Jose -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


Northeast US Radar Links Northeast Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Dover, DE Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Mt. Holly, NJ Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Upton/NYC/Long Island, NY Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Boston/Cape Cod, MA Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Portland, ME Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Carabou, ME Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Lee Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Lee


stormplotthumb_14.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Lee (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Lee (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Lee

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Lee
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Lee -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


Maria Event Related Links


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Maria


stormplotthumb_15.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Maria (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Maria (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Maria

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Maria
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Maria -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)


StormCarib Reports from the Caribbean Islands

Caribbean Weather Observations

Barbados Brohav Weather Fax

Caribbean Broadcast Corporation (TV/Radio from Antilles)

San Juan, PR Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Various Caribbean Radio Stations

DR1 Dominican Republic Hurricanes

Florida
Florida State Emergency Management - Floridadisaster.org
News Media (South Florida):

Television:

Newspapers:

News Radio:

Check local media and officials when a storm is approaching your area.

News Media (East Central Florida):

Television:

Newspapers:

News Radio:

Check local media and officials when a storm is approaching your area.

Tampa Area Media:

Bay News 9

WFLA News 8 (NBC)

Bay Action News (ABC)

WTSP Channel 10 (CBS)

My Fox Tampa Bay

WWSB ABC 7 Sarasota

Tampa Bay Times

Tampa Bay Online

Sarasota Herald Tribune

970 WFLA Tampa News/Talk Radio

Jacksonville, FL Area Media:

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3862
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: After Irma, Jose Needs to be Watched and More [Re: MikeC]
      #98925 - Fri Sep 15 2017 01:44 PM

Tropical storm and/or hurricane watches could be issued for portions of the Lesser Antilles on Saturday for 96L, it may be a Potential Tropical Cyclone advisory then.

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MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 3862
Loc: Orlando, FL 28.49N 81.47W
Re: After Irma, Jose Needs to be Watched and More [Re: MikeC]
      #98927 - Fri Sep 15 2017 02:55 PM

Jose appears to be back at hurricane strength based on recon reports.

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