Watch the caribbean radar recording, Dorian has gone through a center reformation to the northwest under the deep convection on sattelite ,and appears to have formed an eye wall on radar and may be doing a concentric cycle. The high pressure is still forecast to move off the eastern seaboard this weekend capturing Dorian and then the axis of the ridge will pass over him, forcing him west underneath, the timing how Dorian interacts with that ridge will dictate how far west he gets, the ridge will be out of here by wednesday and whatever is recurving north, if dorian moves slower it may only graze the east coast of florida and be a big problem for bahamas, and then the carolinas. If it maintains its course and trajectory it may well end up in the gulf before re curving. It really comes down to the upper lows shear pockets, dry air intensity questions, land.
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