Quote: It is wobbling like crazy because it's pretty small size wise given it's overall strength. This leaves modelling it very very difficult because it's so unstable. It's still going to be small and tight at the Bahamas so it's still potentially going to be wobbling like it has been.
He has been on target pretty much all day. Any wobbles that have occurred today had no effect on overall track. The models don't care about wobbles anyway... they are looking at grand scale factors. There are handful of factors influencing Dorian movement, a turn to the N has been predicted for nearly 24 hours (shown first in advisor #23). The question has always been WHEN. With each update the NHC has increased this timing, mainly because Dorain is slowing down. At one point he could have gotten over the west coast of FL, now that seems extremely unlikely.
If you watch the animated NHC cone you can see its been east of forecast most of its run. Today it was behaved better but its currently ever so slightly NE of predicted (again). So is this a trend or a wobble? Time will tell.
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