Robert
Weather Analyst
Reged: Sat
Posts: 364
Loc: Southeast, FL
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Cut off low, gulf mexico, northwest caribbean, the possible future october and beyond..
Thu Sep 19 2019 11:34 AM Attachment (710 downloads)
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Cut off low pushing south west through eastern gulf of mexico, into Northwestern caribbean, yucatan.
Getting to time of year to watch this area for development from, waves, to troughs, also pacific crossing storms although rare.
Not expecting anything from this, should die out over land. Expect repeats as troughs dig down, in Fall.
I'm personally expecting the 2nd week of october to start getting extremely active here
It has been eight years since a mature hurricane moved through the area, rina in 2011, only birthed storms since.
So much warm water its spilling out through the bahamas, and fueling the storms in the southwest Atlantic.
With the northwest Bahamas, and adjacent area the area to be this year, with persistent upper trough combo over southeast united states, now in neutral phase of pacific oscilation.
Personally expecting a major to lay down in the northwestern caribbean this, fall, if not this fall then next year in a neutral-lanina could be a bad year all around in the gulf of mexico.
Expecting october with another round of MJO to deliver a taste, cuba, keys-southflorida,Bahamas.
Edited by Robert (Thu Sep 19 2019 11:44 AM)
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