It is standard procedure to make an effort to follow continuity in forecasting future plots of hurricanes; though I disagree with the tactic. Models have been off on this storm several days and with each passage push the track west. You read like the current advisory 13/10Z - Track guidance ( a number of hurricane models predicting coordinates) never agree with each other from run to run except within 72 hours of landfall. That guidance normally allows the NHC to take the track right down the middle. When you don't see the change, you'll here the NHC say right of guidance or left... That's continuity. You don't want forecasters saying Key West get ready, and suddenly on the next run - Mobile, AL instead. They do so very gradually in the case of a sudden course change and simply common sense!
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 112070
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center