cant rule out the gfdl but its data is from the GFS which is alittle off on the ridge. Im looking at the trough in the plains down to Texas right now, this should slide e and ne and bend the track to the NW but over florida or sooner? Right now if she continues up to a speed of 15mph she will make florida before the NW turn but she should be by then moving wnw. Current wobbles could have a ending affect on where she will make landfall. If she wobbles to the wnw a couple times then landfall might be up by Melbourne. If she adjusts any wobbles duriing the next 12 hrs then she will impact further south towards WPB. Since I expect her to pick up more speed to 14-15mph I expect landfall in about 36-42hrs. If she wobbles some early before the turn then she will make landfall 42-48 and that would make her turn more NW sooner near Melbourne up to east of Orlando then N towards Jacksonville. Timing is everything. Right now the inverted trough over florida is sliding into the eastern gulf this should continue a more general w track for the next 24 hrs.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 65457
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center